How do you see us closing out the season?

[Sk00b]

2-10.

Maybe next year? 

[bullsfan27]

I would rank the final 4 games in terms of teams we can beat as 1. Tulane, 2. UCF, 3. Houston, 4. Cincy. I kinda feel Tulane is a toss up at this point, UCF is around 10-15%, Houston is around 2% and Cincy is 0%

[flsportsfan83]

4 minutes ago, bullsfan27 said:

I would rank the final 4 games in terms of teams we can beat as 1. Tulane, 2. UCF, 3. Houston, 4. Cincy. I kinda feel Tulane is a toss up at this point, UCF is around 10-15%, Houston is around 2% and Cincy is 0%

Cincy has to be 0.00000000000000000000000000001% always has to be a chance. 

[MaltLiquorBull]

Tulsa and ECU are the ones that got away--I had them as tossups.

Tulane is a tossup. (50/50)

Central is a reach (25% chance).

UH and UC would be miracles. (5% chance).

Chances of finishing 4-0 (6-6 on season and bowl eligible):  .50 * .25 * .05 * .05 = .0003125 = 0.03125%

Chances of finishing 0-4 (2-10 on season):  .50 * .75 * .95 * .95 = .3384375 = 33.84375%

Chances of beating Tulane and losing the rest (1-4 or 3-9 on season)  .50 * .75 * .95 * .95 = .3384375 = 33.84375%

Chances of beating both Tulane and UCF (2-2 or 4-8 on season):  .50 * .25 * .95 * .95 = 10.925%

Chances of beating Tulane, UCF and picking off one of the other 2 (3-1 or 5-7 on season): .50 * .25 * .05 * .95 = 0.59375%

 

Since I am giving the Tulane game a tossup (50/50), we have the same odds of going 0-4 or 1-3 with a win against Tulane.  Hoping for the Tulane win.

11% chance of beating both Tulane and UCF.  (I think some people here would give us a better than 25% chance of winning there, but so far, I don't see it.)

 

I think we finish with 1 more win.  Most likely Tulane.  I hope I am wrong and have to come back here and eat crow.

 

 

 

 

 

[TyBull]

 

Sadly 0-4

[widerberg]

I'm hoping for a win against Tulane, losses to everyone else. Better than last year.

[BayIslandBull]

4-0, Boca Bowl Bound

[flsportsfan83]

Just now, BayIslandBull said:

4-0, Boca Bowl Bound

LOL, Drugs are bad

[USFBulls727]

28 minutes ago, flsportsfan83 said:

Cincy has to be 0.00000000000000000000000000001% always has to be a chance. 

The ESPN predictor thing has Cincy at a 94.1% chance of beating us. That is a Friday night game on the road for them. Their remaining scedule: Tulsa, USF, SMU, and ECU. The SOS there is not doing them any favors in their playoff quest. They'll need to beat the crap out of us, and everybody else on their remaining schedule. A lot of pressure on them, next to none on us. They have SMU after us. Not sure if SMU is good enough that Cincy will get caught looking ahead to that game when they face us,, but they are ranked and will be Cincy's biggest remaining game. Tulane managed to hang around with them for awhile. Hopefully Weis can draw up a good game plan, and we can score enough to keep the pressure on them. They're a good, well coached AAC team. They're not Georgia.

[rollinbull]

Edited November 2, 2021 by rollinbull