ESPN: USF 4th best chance to win the AAC

[NewEnglandBull]

http://www.tampabay.com/sports/florida-gators/2018/04/05/the-florida-football-team-most-likely-to-win-a-conference-title-is/

Matt Baker - 

We've reached the point of the college football offseason where we've progressed from too-early top 25 rankings to too-early analytical projections.

Thanks, ESPN.

ESPN wrote a little about its 2018 FPI (football power index) numbers, which you can see here. The noteworthy nuggets:

The Florida team most likely to win a conference title is … UCF. ESPN gives the Knights a 31.2 percent chance of winning the AAC. Memphis (40.9 percent) is the favorite, and USF is fourth (9.0).

Among the Power Five teams, Miami has a 15.7 percent chance of winning the ACC — well behind No. 1 team Clemson (68.5) but ahead of rival Florida State (4.5). ESPN ranks Miami No. 14 overall and the Seminoles 18th.

The Gators have the fourth-best shot to win the SEC (3.4 percent), but that's wayyyyy behind Georgia, Alabama and Auburn. It's also barely ahead of coach Dan Mullen's former team, Mississippi State (3.1). UF is No. 21 in ESPN's overall FPI rankings.

[USFBulls727]

Well, that settles it then....

Looks like we're behind Memphis, UCF, and Houston. This is probably based on the assumption that there will be a huge drop-off at QB. Not so sure that will be the case, but we'll see.

 

[CousinRicky]

10 hours ago, USFBulls727 said:

Well, that settles it then....

Looks like we're behind Memphis, UCF, and Houston. This is probably based on the assumption that there will be a huge drop-off at QB. Not so sure that will be the case, but we'll see.

 

I'd rather have it like this.  Being favored last year didn't really work out for us.

[USF Bulls Football]

Pretty fair, frankly.

[NewEnglandBull]

We will get at least a split with Houston and ucf. Of course I know which one I would rather win...

[GaUSFBull]

57 minutes ago, Bourbon Bull said:

I'd rather have it like this.  Being favored last year didn't really work out for us.

I'd rather be favored and actually win the thing.  

[Skingraft]

That's why we play the game

[CousinRicky]

43 minutes ago, GaUSFBull said:

I'd rather be favored and actually win the thing.  

Being favored, in big games, has never worked out for USF - in any sport it seems.  I guess softball made it to the CWS.

Edited April 6, 2018 by Bourbon Bull

[beastiebull]

I just don't think Kean is the answer but I hope I am wrong.  Maybe he has grown by leaps and bounds under GIlbert's tutelange, idk. 

Disappointed Oladokhun didn't dominate this Spring. 

[GaUSFBull]

1 hour ago, Bourbon Bull said:

Being favored, in big games, has never worked out for USF - in any sport it seems.  I guess softball made it to the CWS.

I don't believe history affects the present or future in that manner.  I'd love for USF to get to the point where they are favored AND they back it up.