Best-case scenario to make an NY6 bowl game this year

[Gatorbull325]

I usually make a “crash the playoffs” post, but realistically we do not have the strength of schedule. Soooo I decided to make the best-case scenario to make an NY6 bowl game. 1st, we have to win the AAC and go undefeated. The only AAC loss we can afford and still get to the AAC title game would be to Houston…but since we are going undefeated, I shall proceed with the best-case scenario. The scenarios below are the teams being undefeated or with 1 loss by the time they play us. 

Cinci – 8-0 or 7-1 should be ranked (possible loss to Navy)

UCF - 10-1 should be ranked (loss to Memphis)

Houston – 7-0 should be ranked when we play them (They will lose to Memphis on 11/23 so they will not make the AAC title game…plus I don’t want to play them twice)

Memphis - 12-1 should be ranked (We will play them in the AAC conference title game)

Past opponents

GT wins 8 games

Illini – Becomes bowl eligible

Our biggest challengers

Boise State – They need to lose to Oklahoma State, BYU, Fresno State or Utah State. Them boys need a loss period.

Hawaii - We are lucky. If they go undefeated, we should still be ahead of them. Their schedule is pretty weak.  Now if USF has one loss then it’s a closer race.

BYU – They have 1 loss, but If they win out hell they may go to the playoffs lol Their schedule is stacked. A 2 loss BYU may still be hard to beat, especially if they beat Wisconsin. But I don’t see them getting past WIS and WASH.

Buffalo – Same as Hawaii

North Texas – Same as Hawaii.

This scenario gives us 3-4 ranked opponents. If the AAC has a bunch of parity and none of the teams we play are ranked, we should still be good if we win out, but may still need at least 1 more loss from Boise State. Anyways, I have thought this scenario into existence so it shall happen.….. Go Bulls! 

 

 

 

[Thebullsfan]

Well, may the stars align and let us not lose at all nor to that orlando school.

[USFBulls727]

I don't put much stock in that Match-up predictor thing on ESPN, but aside from OK State, they have Boise at an 80% or higher chance of winning each of their remaining games, with most of those games being at 90%-plus. They really have just one difficult team on the schedule, then it should be a cakewalk. They went from #22 in the AP (Preseason Poll), to #20 after beating Troy, to #17 after beating UConn. We currently have 3 total votes (Hawaii has 5), which ranks us at #39. If Boise beats OK State, I don't see us catching them, even if Cincy, Houston, and UCF are all undefeated when we meet them.

Edited September 15, 2018 by USFBulls727

[Gat-Rat Bull]

I wonder how many Boise fans realize how many USF fans really really want them to lose? I would go to a cheer-against-Boise watch party (even without free beer) if I thought that would help.

[E.T.]

5 minutes ago, Gat-Rat Bull said:

I wonder how many Boise fans realize how many USF fans really really want them to lose? I would go to a cheer-against-Boise watch party (even without free beer) if I thought that would help.

Our Love for our BULLS creates hatred for our enemies ... LOVE IT !!!

[bullsfan1983]

Isn’t BYU considered P5 for scheduling purposes. Sort of like Notre Dame. Could they really steal the G5 conference spot as independent?

[Gatorbull325]

1 hour ago, bullsfan1983 said:

Isn’t BYU considered P5 for scheduling purposes. Sort of like Notre Dame. Could they really steal the G5 conference spot as independent?

Actually, thats a great question in which I dont know, but assumed that they would snatch up a G5 spot minimum.

[Apis Bull]

1 hour ago, bullsfan1983 said:

Isn’t BYU considered P5 for scheduling purposes. Sort of like Notre Dame. Could they really steal the G5 conference spot as independent?

I don't think they can.  Everything I read specifically says a team from a Group of 5 conference.  Nothing is said about independents. 

[NewEnglandBull]

8 hours ago, Gatorbull325 said:

I usually make a “crash the playoffs” post, but realistically we do not have the strength of schedule. Soooo I decided to make the best-case scenario to make an NY6 bowl game. 1st, we have to win the AAC and go undefeated. The only AAC loss we can afford and still get to the AAC title game would be to Houston…but since we are going undefeated, I shall proceed with the best-case scenario. The scenarios below are the teams being undefeated or with 1 loss by the time they play us. 

Cinci – 8-0 or 7-1 should be ranked (possible loss to Navy)

UCF - 10-1 should be ranked (loss to Memphis)

Houston – 7-0 should be ranked when we play them (They will lose to Memphis on 11/23 so they will not make the AAC title game…plus I don’t want to play them twice)

Memphis - 12-1 should be ranked (We will play them in the AAC conference title game)

Past opponents

GT wins 8 games

Illini – Becomes bowl eligible

Our biggest challengers

Boise State – They need to lose to Oklahoma State, BYU, Fresno State or Utah State. Them boys need a loss period.

Hawaii - We are lucky. If they go undefeated, we should still be ahead of them. Their schedule is pretty weak.  Now if USF has one loss then it’s a closer race.

BYU – They have 1 loss, but If they win out hell they may go to the playoffs lol Their schedule is stacked. A 2 loss BYU may still be hard to beat, especially if they beat Wisconsin. But I don’t see them getting past WIS and WASH.

Buffalo – Same as Hawaii

North Texas – Same as Hawaii.

This scenario gives us 3-4 ranked opponents. If the AAC has a bunch of parity and none of the teams we play are ranked, we should still be good if we win out, but may still need at least 1 more loss from Boise State. Anyways, I have thought this scenario into existence so it shall happen.….. Go Bulls! 

 

 

 

We will have a very, very, very difficult time beating Houston at their place. Also Cincy has a good defense. I don’t like the odds of us running the table so all this may be moot. 

3 hours ago, Gat-Rat Bull said:

I wonder how many Boise fans realize how many USF fans really really want them to lose? I would go to a cheer-against-Boise watch party (even without free beer) if I thought that would help.

Go to the conference board...Boise knows...

[NewEnglandBull]

8 hours ago, USFBulls727 said:

I don't put much stock in that Match-up predictor thing on ESPN, but aside from OK State, they have Boise at an 80% or higher chance of winning each of their remaining games, with most of those games being at 90%-plus. They really have just one difficult team on the schedule, then it should be a cakewalk. They went from #22 in the AP (Preseason Poll), to #20 after beating Troy, to #17 after beating UConn. We currently have 3 total votes (Hawaii has 5), which ranks us at #39. If Boise beats OK State, I don't see us catching them, even if Cincy, Houston, and UCF are all undefeated when we meet them.

This. ucf and Houston won’t catch them either.