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Cannot understand what logic drives the ESPN Matchup predictor

USFDude
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jchem1995 Toro Magnifico

jchem1995

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Posted
4 minutes ago, Ten Toed Sloth said:

Down to 47.1%

Gotta be Russian mob propaganda at this point.

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BullyPulpit
BullyPulpit

It isn't a bias against USF, it is an algorithm that uses a variety of factors to come up with the predictions. Typically, these types of systems lag behind and they also fail to account for some inta

jjlovecub
jjlovecub

Well, I would agree with you about the bias, I don’t think it is the case in this situation. This is a team that can score a lot of points, is playing at home, and has been on the verge of what seems

Gatorbull325
Gatorbull325

I think this team is much better than we realize. At Navy we had 3 turnovers close to their red zones in which they all scored. Not 1 td scored when we kicked it off or they started at their own 35 ya

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hm101 Toro Magnifico

hm101

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Posted

Not too far off from my thoughts.

They throw well, we struggle with pass d

They're at home

Their defense is the largest in size since Week 3 Bama

This will be a challenge. 

Temple, Charlotte, UConn I worry less about. If we can just win those we bowl so I'm thrilled if we win but I'm not banking a win

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Triple B Toro Magnifico

Triple B

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If we lose this game, I'm blaming the kids karma. There's no way otherwise that CAG loses to a high school coach ....

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Brad Toro Magnifico

Brad

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Why don't we bring our own troubled kids to the game?  Offset their kids karma?  Anybody know a couple of ucf fans that can make the trip?

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CousinRicky Toro Magnifico

CousinRicky

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20 minutes ago, Brad said:

Why don't we bring our own troubled kids to the game?  Offset their kids karma?  Anybody know a couple of ucf fans that can make the trip?

Okay. THAT was funny.

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Jim Johnson Toro Magnifico

Jim Johnson

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Posted
12 hours ago, CousinRicky said:

Serious question. Who sets the opening line?

Sports books and casinos have their own people who set lines. 

 

os101-who_sets_the_line_.jpg?itok=4G9-HN

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Who Sets The Line?

WWW.ODDSSHARK.COM
Understanding how point spreads work is essential in order to be a successful bettor. But thinking like an oddsmaker and setting your own lines before the Sportsbook...

 

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USFDude Experienced

USFDude

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well I guess that predictor knows what the hell it is doing

yum-- this crow tastes great!

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Bull Matrix Toro Magnifico

Bull Matrix

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Posted
3 hours ago, USFDude said:

well I guess that predictor knows what the hell it is doing

yum-- this crow tastes great!

Let’s hope the predictor is correct this weekend…

1CEFAA53-CA6A-47CB-A791-26B71A08D4B9.png

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Rocky Style Toro Magnifico

Rocky Style

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Posted
10 hours ago, USFDude said:

well I guess that predictor knows what the hell it is doing

yum-- this crow tastes great!

Don't worry about Crow!  I eat mine with garlic salt.  

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