longestdays Posted September 7, 2018 Group: Member Topic Count: 3 Content Count: 22 Reputation: 9 Days Won: 0 Joined: 09/02/2018 Share Posted September 7, 2018 2017 had USF had ~ 2.6 points per possessions (14 possession average and 37 point per game average) with a pretty easy schedule. Don't expect more than 12 possessions (unless it is a turnover fest). 35 to 28 makes more since if you are a home town hero, and that is saying you perform as well as last years average. Most people are predicting more USF offense than any team GT played last year including Clemson and uga.On the GT score side I see the 21 to 28 points given that only Duke (20) and Clemson (7) held GT to less than 21 points last year. USF defense was rated close to Dukes FEI last year. Is USF is going to hang more on GT than the teams USF played last year other than East Carolina and Illinois? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puc86 Posted September 7, 2018 Group: Member Topic Count: 147 Content Count: 19,272 Reputation: 6,158 Days Won: 255 Joined: 10/13/2002 Share Posted September 7, 2018 1 minute ago, longestdays said: 2017 had USF had ~ 2.6 points per possessions (14 possession average and 37 point per game average) with a pretty easy schedule. Don't expect more than 12 possessions (unless it is a turnover fest). 35 to 28 makes more since if you are a home town hero, and that is saying you perform as well as last years average. Most people are predicting more USF offense than any team GT played last year including Clemson and uga.On the GT score side I see the 21 to 28 points given that only Duke (20) and Clemson (7) held GT to less than 21 points last year. USF defense was rated close to Dukes FEI last year. Is USF is going to hang more on GT than the teams USF played last year other than East Carolina and Illinois? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeG Posted September 7, 2018 Group: Moderator Topic Count: 1,984 Content Count: 19,737 Reputation: 3,869 Days Won: 175 Joined: 07/17/2003 Share Posted September 7, 2018 this is why they play the games-- to find out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TakeItOrLeavitt Posted September 7, 2018 Group: Member Topic Count: 45 Content Count: 1,235 Reputation: 258 Days Won: 1 Joined: 11/04/2003 Share Posted September 7, 2018 In USF's last 30 games dating back to 2015 they have scored less than 30 only twice. One was a rainy game vs a Ed Oliver led Houston D that we scored 24 in a nail biter loss. The other was a 27 point effort in a road win vs Tulsa. USF will almost undoubtedly get their points. It's just going to be a matter of how well they stop the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TakeItOrLeavitt Posted September 7, 2018 Group: Member Topic Count: 45 Content Count: 1,235 Reputation: 258 Days Won: 1 Joined: 11/04/2003 Share Posted September 7, 2018 Actually now that I think of it I'm not so sure it rained vs Houston. I may be confusing it with the SJSU game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CousinRicky Posted September 7, 2018 Group: TBP Subscriber III Topic Count: 583 Content Count: 22,724 Reputation: 5,862 Days Won: 109 Joined: 09/13/2007 Share Posted September 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, TakeItOrLeavitt said: Actually now that I think of it I'm not so sure it rained vs Houston. I may be confusing it with the SJSU game. Now you have me thinking, I don't remember it raining (or if it did it was not substantial enough to remember) at SJSU. Kind of remember hoping the sun went down or behind clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longestdays Posted September 7, 2018 Group: Member Topic Count: 3 Content Count: 22 Reputation: 9 Days Won: 0 Joined: 09/02/2018 Author Share Posted September 7, 2018 (edited) Don't het me wrong, the stats and score are impressive. 37 points on average is very good! I get a +30 prediction. But the 45 prediction is very interesting. I would also say GT fans saying less than 21 points are outside the norm (taking into account 12 versus 14 possessions - 14 possessions score would be 26-27 points equivalent, which is your low end score with Tulsa and Houston) Edited September 7, 2018 by longestdays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rongelo Posted September 7, 2018 Group: Member Topic Count: 0 Content Count: 24 Reputation: 4 Days Won: 0 Joined: 01/09/2015 Share Posted September 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, CousinRicky said: Now you have me thinking, I don't remember it raining (or if it did it was not substantial enough to remember) at SJSU. Kind of remember hoping the sun went down or behind clouds. It rained a good amount during the Houston game last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bullstampede9922 Posted September 7, 2018 Group: Member Topic Count: 12 Content Count: 1,502 Reputation: 563 Days Won: 0 Joined: 11/24/2013 Share Posted September 7, 2018 (edited) 17 minutes ago, TakeItOrLeavitt said: Actually now that I think of it I'm not so sure it rained vs Houston. I may be confusing it with the SJSU game. It rained before the game and into the first quarter for sure. I remember sitting in the end zone with ponchos wondering what happened to the offense. It's going to be important to put together some longer drives to give the defense a rest. I'm excited for the game, but nervous about our defense. Edited September 7, 2018 by bullstampede9922 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MMW Posted September 7, 2018 Group: Member Topic Count: 39 Content Count: 2,127 Reputation: 924 Days Won: 6 Joined: 09/14/2007 Share Posted September 7, 2018 I predict a double kaiju 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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