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longestdays

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Apprentice

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  1. I stand corrected. Good job bulls and good game.
  2. I enjoyed the the conversation. Go jackets! I'll being breaking this game down on youtube...
  3. In 2017 Duke did just this... they stopped us twice and scored twice and we got off schedule and started passing in the second half. Duke was only stopped once and GT never scored again leading to a 43 to 20 final score. (thus why we have a new DC)
  4. Although I hope Woody's defense is all that... I think USF will score some points. GT is just to young on a new defensive scheme to say anything else until proven otherwise.
  5. Don't het me wrong, the stats and score are impressive. 37 points on average is very good! I get a +30 prediction. But the 45 prediction is very interesting. I would also say GT fans saying less than 21 points are outside the norm (taking into account 12 versus 14 possessions - 14 possessions score would be 26-27 points equivalent, which is your low end score with Tulsa and Houston)
  6. 2017 had USF had ~ 2.6 points per possessions (14 possession average and 37 point per game average) with a pretty easy schedule. Don't expect more than 12 possessions (unless it is a turnover fest). 35 to 28 makes more since if you are a home town hero, and that is saying you perform as well as last years average. Most people are predicting more USF offense than any team GT played last year including Clemson and uga.On the GT score side I see the 21 to 28 points given that only Duke (20) and Clemson (7) held GT to less than 21 points last year. USF defense was rated close to Dukes FEI last year. Is USF is going to hang more on GT than the teams USF played last year other than East Carolina and Illinois?
  7. I agree on 11 to 12 possessions. USF is a 14 possession average. 37 points average. This data yields an Awesome 2.6 points per possession. 28-32 points average on 11 to 12 possessions (With last years players). The question is, is GT your average opponent? Can you eat up a new defense, or is the new scheme bringing the success Nate Woody had at App State. Are the new players just as good as last year? Only Saturday will tell. I agree. Play your game. Although I would love for your team to get off script. Don't count any stats after 3rd Q in GTvAlcorn including one fumble and one fourth down stop. Just like I stopped watching USF game at half.
  8. Cut blocks... do you have injury stats? Do you know GT's defense practices their own offensive team and they have never had a cut block injury? Hyped up media and a non-preferred blocking style by the defense does not mean injury. Bigger teams hate it because it is an equalizer.
  9. Option football is about loving the mechanics and execution. Most people don't know much about option football and find it not to their taste (which I understand).
  10. Awesome game with UCF last year... very intense.
  11. I like the Vegas line of 3.5 but I think it could go either way. Atomic has 34 to 30. My heart wants the defense to show the change with the new DC and hold to 21 points. Keep in mind I only expect 10 possessions and 12 max. But, I also know that your QB and WR are going to target our weakness. 28 would mean ~6-8 stops. I am thankful your QB is not mobile. 28 to 21 points sounds about right. I think GT will score 2.1 (average) to 2.8 (if the team has not seen the option a lot and has issues with the run) points per possession 21 to 31 points. Either team can win. If it rains, I don't know, maybe USF. If it does not rain, I'll take GT to cover the 3.5.
  12. Really, the starter RB was kept out to reduce chance of injury? Was he dinged and they wanted healed for this weekend?
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