I don't think we'll see many AAC teams go on prolonged runs due to coaching turnover. Temple, Houston, and Memphis will all lose their coaches to P5 programs in the next 1-3 years. UCF is on a downswing, but losing O'Leary to retirement won't help unless they hire a big name (which will be unlikely if he's promoted to AD and Key promoted to head coach). Chad Morris won't be at SMU long if he sees success. But If Tuberville is content at Cincy, maybe they end up dominating the league for a few years.