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A 2-4-8 Three Season Forecast Approach..


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With the new coach being another 1st year learn on the job head coach my expectations are low.  So I will set a fair 3 year plan for the new coach. I hoping for the following scenario:

2023 2-10 - I know 2 wins might even be tough if USF doesn’t address the defense 

2024 4-8 - If all goes well during 2023 then the goal should be at least to double the wins from his first season.

2025 8-4 - This would be a great season for USF as long as the coach can double up the hopefully 4 win season in 2024

Think that is a fair early forecast. 

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USF has to address the defense.  It may not go from 131 to top 50, but even a 75-80 defense and the Briles/Heupel/Golesh offense means 5-7 wins.

 

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We can't really afford 2 more years of not having a winning season; especially in a weaker conference. I expect more conference realignment, and right now programs like Memphis and others are probably ahead of us. New coaches come in all the time and turn programs around in less time. That's why I am not a fan of the new hire since he has no HC experience and comes with training wheels.

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1 minute ago, jjlovecub said:

I’m sorry but with a weaker conference this is not acceptable. We cannot have a two win season

I think the AAC will be tougher next season. UAB & UTSA are no joke. 

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2 minutes ago, belgianbull said:

We can't really afford 2 more years of not having a winning season; especially in a weaker conference. I expect more conference realignment, and right now programs like Memphis and others are probably ahead of us. New coaches come in all the time and turn programs around in less time. That's why I am not a fan of the new hire since he has no HC experience and comes with training wheels.

This hits it dead on. We are not in a conference or position for another slow rebuild, we blew that opportunity already. We need to win and win fast. This is a ridiculous expectation but we need a bowl game like next year.

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Just now, Bull Awakening said:

I think the AAC will be tougher next season. UAB & UTSA are no joke. 

And two wins is not acceptable

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Just now, Bull Awakening said:

I think the AAC will be tougher next season. UAB & UTSA are no joke. 

UTSA are losing like half their starters... and UAB is not Cincy, UCF, or Houston.

It comes down to the defense... but if that begins to get better (even just a little), USF has some wins on the schedule.

OOC: @WKU, FAMU, BAMA, and @UConn
AAC Home: Rice, FAU, Charlotte, Temple
AAC Away: @UTSA, @Memphis, @UAB, @Navy

USF should go 5-1 at home and pick up 1-3 wins on the road.

Unless the defense craps the bed again.

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The man doesn’t even have a staff or first recruiting class, yet. I’ll wait to buy into a plan or forecast until then.

If he gets 4 wins in year 2, get ready for a five year extension.

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15 minutes ago, belgianbull said:

We can't really afford 2 more years of not having a winning season; especially in a weaker conference. I expect more conference realignment, and right now programs like Memphis and others are probably ahead of us.

Yep we are in trouble.

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