USF FPI ... surprises

[Jim Johnson]

From the worldwide leader... USF was less than 30% to beat Ga Tech before the game... and that win has changed a few others.. including the last one.

 

Sat, Sept 15	vs Illinois*	65.7%	-3.8 (76)	--
Sat, Sept 22	vs East Carolina	88.2%	-11.0 (105)	--
Sat, Oct 6	@ UMass	73.9%	-8.5 (97)	--
Fri, Oct 12	@ Tulsa	59.0%	-4.4 (79)	--
Sat, Oct 20	vs UConn	96.0%	-21.2 (125)	--
Sat, Oct 27	@ Houston	38.4%	3.0 (54)	--
Sat, Nov 3	vs Tulane	76.8%	-4.4 (80)	--
Sat, Nov 10	@ Cincinnati	48.9%	-0.4 (70)	--
Sat, Nov 17	@ Temple	73.2%	-9.3 (100)	--
Fri, Nov 23	vs #18 UCF	51.3%	4.6 (49)	--

[OcalaBull2]

That Houston game concerns me. Hopefully their last game was a fluke. 

[Roaming Bull]

I don’t get being the undog to Cincy though? We will have to see how these other teams shake out before I put too much stock into these numbers

[Hueyhog20]

Yeah what’s up with Cincy? They are nowhere near a good team. They looked bad vs Miami and UCLA is terrible this year. We will take them out easily. 

[ForestBull]

Lol espn fpi is a joke

Edited September 11, 2018 by ForestBull

[NewEnglandBull]

2 hours ago, OcalaBull2 said:

That Houston game concerns me. Hopefully their last game was a fluke. 

It should they don’t lose often in their new stadium 

[NewEnglandBull]

2 hours ago, Roaming Bull said:

I don’t get being the undog to Cincy though? We will have to see how these other teams shake out before I put too much stock into these numbers

That can change if they lose before meeting us...which is probably the case but obviously that will be a tough game. 

**** that Uconn games is almost a guarantee LOL

[Roaming Bull]

9 minutes ago, NewEnglandBull said:

**** that Uconn games is almost a guarantee LOL

That game will be a great opportunity for our bench to get some playing time. B.B. may not have to play in the 2nd quarter if we come out and score quickly 

[SarasotaUSF]

I'm fine with all except for Cincy. It would take a drastic improvement over one year for them to beat us. I just think the gap is too wide at the moment. 

[puc86]

Any probability algorithm is going to be a little hit or miss two games into a 12 game schedule. As more games are played we may not agree with it but it should make more sense.