The road to win the AAC East.

[Blackice12]

As we learned last year there is more to winning the AAC East than beating all the teams in the division.  Based on the current results Navy and Memphis will be the toughest challenges for USF. 

Temple and USF are in the catbird seat to win the east. I believe UCF will lose another 2 or 3 conference games. Temple has 5 games remaining 3 of the 5 at home including Friday night's matchup against USF. A win puts USF in the driver's seat.

But what hiccups if any can USF afford? Beating Temple, UCF and SMU and losing to Navy and Memphis will set USF at 6-2 in the conference. Will that be enough to hold off 2-1 Temple, who after playing USF has games against Cincinnati, UConn, Tulane and ECU?

I would love for USF to win out but I would hate to put USF's division title in the hands of UConn for the second year in a row. 

[usfgrad84]

I believe it all starts with beating Temple. That would give Temple a 2nd loss in the conference. Even we end up losing 2 conference games we own the head to head tiebreaker. 

Most important thing is to take care of our own business in every game. 

The only team left that impresses me at all is Navy. Temple, not so much, but we still have to show up and play focused football.  Any letdown or sleepwalking through any game would be a disaster to achieving our goal. 

[Apis Bull]

If we don't win our conference games, we can't get upset because someone didn't, "help" us.

[Bull Matrix]

If USF beats Temple, it will give the Bulls a three game lead over them since it will be Temple's second conference loss. And don't forget USF would have the head to head tie breaker over them as well in case USF does finish 6-2 in conference. 

[flsportsfan83]

What were to happen if 3 teams finished 6-2?

[bullsmeanbusiness]

22 minutes ago, flsportsfan83 said:

What were to happen if 3 teams finished 6-2?

Per the AAC: 

Quote

Divisional Champions
The divisional champions will be the teams from each division with the highest winning percentage in all conference games – both divisional and non-divisional.

In the event of a two-team tie within a division, the head-to-head winner between the tied teams will be the championship game representative.

In the event of a multiple-team tie within a division, the following tiebreaker criteria will be used, in order:
  · Head-to-head record against the tied teams
  · Divisional winning percentage
  · Record against each team in the divisional standings, in descending order
  · Record against common non-divisional conference opponents
  · Overall winning percentage
  · Most recent College Football Playoff Selection Committee rankings (provided the highest-ranked team won its final game)
  · Average of selected computer rankings

If, at any point during the tiebreaker process, the criteria eliminates all but two teams, the two remaining teams would revert to the two-team tiebreaking procedure to determine the representative.

 

[GaUSFBull]

35 minutes ago, Apis Bull said:

If we don't win our conference games, we can't get upset because someone didn't, "help" us.

Bingo.

[Bull Matrix]

25 minutes ago, flsportsfan83 said:

What were to happen if 3 teams finished 6-2?

I think they would go by the margin of victory so it made sense why CWT tried to score late against ECU 

[TarHeel_Bull]

29 minutes ago, flsportsfan83 said:

What were to happen if 3 teams finished 6-2?

Winner of head to head,  and if we beat both of them and lost to Navy and Memphis we would go.

[bullsfan27]

Just win them all and we don't have to worry about anyone else. If we lose I'd prefer to lose to either navy or Memphis but not both and beat all the east teams plus smu.