I get what you're saying, especially the last sentence. I wasn't focusing on preseason rankings as they rarely tell the story, last year being the perfect example. When it comes to bowl season, it is more likely that teams like Houston, Memphis, Temple (and the Fl schools) will be getting more AP/Coaches votes than Fresno and SDSU. OK State might be good, or they might be OK State. If Boise runs the table they should be in the conversation for sure, but the parity in their league just isn't there. Fresno, SDSU, etc get their fair share of press due to the comparative markets they serve, but don't contribute to any real depth in the conference year to year imo. I like Troy, but that is like saying Tulane should be a nod on your SOS because they could be the 'sneaky' team in FBS this season. It's meaningless until later, like you said.
You're being facetious but a win over UCF this year, especially if they're undefeated at the time, would be bigger than anything Boise can claim.