Race to the 4 spots in the College Playoffs

[Bulls1181]

https://247sports.com/Bolt/The-shot-every-remaining-unbeaten-team-has-of-running-the-table-109022711

South Florida

The Bulls’ hopes of being the Group of 5 representative in this season’s New Year’s Six bowl are still very much alive after winning their first six games by an average of 25.7 points. Every victory has been by at least 14 points and each of their last three have been by 30 or more. The model does not project them to be seriously challenged until the regular season finale at Central Florida, which South Florida is projected to lose by 6.1 points. The Bulls are projected to win their four games between now and then, none of which are against a team in the Top 85 of the model’s current rankings, by an average of 30.3 points and have a 77.9% chance of being 10-0 going into that game against the Golden Knights.

Projected chance to run the table: 29.2%

UCF

Just two years removed from a winless year, the Knights have a chance to put together an unbeaten regular season. UCF’s offense has been explosive this season, its 5.75 yards per carry being the 12th-best in the country, its 11.17 yards per pass being third-best and its 50.6 points per game being No. 1 in the nation. Like South Florida, the Knights don’t seem to have much standing in their way between now and the Nov. 24 home game against the Bulls. UCF is projected to win its five games between now and then by an average of 29.9 points, with the model giving it a 57.4% chance of still being undefeated going into that contest. Its next toughest obstacle is a Nov. 4 trip to face SMU but UCF is even projected to win that one by 11.2 points, and by more than 21 in each of the other four.

Projected chance to run the table: 35.9%

 

[NewEnglandBull]

1 hour ago, Capital H said:

People, you are delusional if you think USF, or any G5 team, will get invited to the playoffs this year.

The only way it will ever happen, and even in this hypothetical I would be skeptical, is if a team like USF (or UCF or Houston) ran the table 2 seasons in a row, with big regular season wins and winning their NY6 bowl (or two) before. Houston would have been a great litmus test last year before they crapped out.

This

[NewEnglandBull]

19 minutes ago, Bulls1181 said:

https://247sports.com/Bolt/The-shot-every-remaining-unbeaten-team-has-of-running-the-table-109022711

South Florida

The Bulls’ hopes of being the Group of 5 representative in this season’s New Year’s Six bowl are still very much alive after winning their first six games by an average of 25.7 points. Every victory has been by at least 14 points and each of their last three have been by 30 or more. The model does not project them to be seriously challenged until the regular season finale at Central Florida, which South Florida is projected to lose by 6.1 points. The Bulls are projected to win their four games between now and then, none of which are against a team in the Top 85 of the model’s current rankings, by an average of 30.3 points and have a 77.9% chance of being 10-0 going into that game against the Golden Knights.

Projected chance to run the table: 29.2%

UCF

Just two years removed from a winless year, the Knights have a chance to put together an unbeaten regular season. UCF’s offense has been explosive this season, its 5.75 yards per carry being the 12th-best in the country, its 11.17 yards per pass being third-best and its 50.6 points per game being No. 1 in the nation. Like South Florida, the Knights don’t seem to have much standing in their way between now and the Nov. 24 home game against the Bulls. UCF is projected to win its five games between now and then by an average of 29.9 points, with the model giving it a 57.4% chance of still being undefeated going into that contest. Its next toughest obstacle is a Nov. 4 trip to face SMU but UCF is even projected to win that one by 11.2 points, and by more than 21 in each of the other four.

Projected chance to run the table: 35.9%

 

Author missed UCF vs Navy

[Bulls1181]

4 minutes ago, Bullshiznitz said:

The only chance of it happening this year are 2 P5 conferences shizniting the bed (conference champion having 3 losses), UCF & Memphis both winning out until they play us, and runner's up in the SEC (UGA) and Big Ten having atleast 2 losses.  The second two are possible, but don't see 2 P5 conferences having champions with 3 or more losses.  Maybe the PAC12 (as USC and Stanford both still play ND, and Wash, Wash st, Stanford still all have to play each other), but don't see a realistic road for a 3 loss champion in the ACC or Big 12

A two loss Conference Champion possibly can still be chosen over an undefeated AAC team.  I don't think that they would select a 2 loss P5 team that did not win their conference 

[Mama_Bull]

25 minutes ago, Bulls1181 said:

UCF is projected to win its five games between now and then by an average of 29.9 points, with the model giving it a 57.4% chance of still being undefeated going into that contest. Its next toughest obstacle is a Nov. 4 trip to face SMU but UCF is even projected to win that one by 11.2 points, and by more than 21 in each of the other four.

Projected chance to run the table: 35.9%

 

I wonder why did they not mention UCF @Navy this week. Vegas makes UCF an 8 point favorite.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/teams/team-page.cfm/team/central-florida

I thought Memphis would beat Navy at home when they were a 3.5 point favorite, which they barely did. BUT, Memphis has played Navy before.

UCF on the other hand has NEVER played Navy and that is THE one team where it really helps to have played them in the past.

Having said that, I still UCF wins because of its offensive fire power.

Still, Navy can eat up a lot of clock on just about every drive and that could greatly limit possessions for UCF.

I think the team that has the fewest turnovers will win.

IMO, @Navy will be a tougher test for UCF than @SMU.

Edited October 16, 2017 by Mama_Bull

[NewEnglandBull]

1 hour ago, Mama_Bull said:

I wonder why did they not mention UCF @Navy this week. Vegas makes UCF an 8 point favorite.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/teams/team-page.cfm/team/central-florida

I thought Memphis would beat Navy at home when they were a 3.5 point favorite, which they barely did. BUT, Memphis has played Navy before.

UCF on the other hand has NEVER played Navy and that is THE one team where it really helps to have played them in the past.

Having said that, I still UCF wins because of its offensive fire power.

Still, Navy can eat up a lot of clock on just about every drive and that could greatly limit possessions for UCF.

I think the team that has the fewest turnovers will win.

IMO, @Navy will be a tougher test for UCF than @SMU.

Yeah navy’s d is a disaster. The best they can hope for are long drives keeping C’s offense off the field. Navy has also turned the ball over a lot this year so they will need to avoid the turnovers. BUT...this game is at Annapolis which is a tough place to win. 

[Bulls1181]

18 teams with possibilities...

American Athletic

• South Florida (7-0)

• UCF (6-0)

ACC

• Clemson(6-1)

• Miami(6-0)

• NC State(6-1)

• Virginia(5-2)

• Virginia Tech(6-1)

Big 12

• Oklahoma(6-1)

• Oklahoma State(6-1)

• TCU(7-0)

Big Ten

• Michigan(5-2)

• Michigan State(6-1)

• Ohio State(6-1)

• Penn State(7-0)

• Wisconsin(7-0)

FBS Independents

• Notre Dame(6-1)

Pac-12

• USC(6-2)

• Washington(6-1)

• Washington State(7-1)

SEC

• Alabama(8-0)

• Georgia(7-0)

• Kentucky(5-2)

[Bulls1181]

Tough match ups for Week 9:

Oklahoma State @ West Virginia

TCU @ Iowa State

NC State @ Notre Dame   (elimination game)

Michigan State @ Northwestern

UCLA @ Washington

Georgia vs FL

Penn State @ Ohio State

Georgia Tech @ Clemson

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma

Washington State @ Arizona

 

[CousinRicky]

4 hours ago, Bulls1181 said:

Tough match ups for Week 9:

Oklahoma State @ West Virginia

TCU @ Iowa State

NC State @ Notre Dame   (elimination game)

Michigan State @ Northwestern

UCLA @ Washington

Georgia vs FL

Penn State @ Ohio State

Georgia Tech @ Clemson

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma

Washington State @ Arizona

 

I don't see USF v Houston on that list

[Bulls1181]

18 hours ago, Bourbon Bull said:

I don't see USF v Houston on that list

LOL.. Good point!