Joe Lunardi's latest Bracketology update 3/4/12 - 10:15 PM EST

[LETHALWEAPONMV]

Lundardi has USF in & NOT playing in Dayton!

http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebasketballnation/post/_/id/51132/joe-lunardis-latest-bracketology-update-14

Before Monday's full bracket is released, here's a sneak peek at the basics of Bracketology with Sunday's bubble-impact games now in the books.

NOTABLE

• Arizona drops out of field with loss at Arizona State.
  
• Texas moves back into field as the last team in.
  
• With Cal’s loss at Stanford, Washington clinches Pac-12 regular-season title.
  
• Middle Tennessee falls out of field with loss to Arkansas State in Sun Belt tourney and is a fringe bubble team.
  

Last Four In

Northwestern

Seton Hall

Xavier

Texas

First Four Out

Tennessee

VCU

Oregon

NC State

Next Four Out

Miami (Fla.)

Iona

Arizona

Saint Joseph's

Also considered: Dayton, Marshall, Ole Miss, Middle Tennessee

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big East (10)

Big Ten (7)

Big 12 (6)

SEC (5)

ACC (4)

Mountain West (4)

Atlantic 10 (3)

West Coast (3)

Conference USA (2)

Missouri Valley (2)

Pac-12 (2)

NCAA AUTOMATIC QUALIFIERS

Belmont (Atlantic Sun)

Creighton (Missouri Valley)

Murray State (Ohio Valley)

UNC Asheville (Big South)

[gobulls83]

According to a commentator below that blog post, Lunardi hasn't missed on more than two teams out of the entire field any year going back to 2008. Assuming that's correct - and who knows, I sure as hell ain't going back and counting - that's great news for USF.

[gobulls83]

Thinking about it further, only missing two teams in the bracket isn't THAT impressive, considering there's really fewer than 10 spots each year that aren't obvious. The 32 autobids plus about 25 or more obvious at-large teams are gimmes.

[Velcro]

stumbled on this site in the comments on lunardi's page...

pretty comprehensive data... not sure any of this is really reliable,but good to see us on the good side of the bubble on both sites:

http://seedmadness.home.comcast.net/~seedmadness/

[DELdaBull]

I like our chances as an 11 seed.

[dabull80]

Based on TODAY (LOL) we would get UNLV and then potentially FSU. Now that would be fun. Bad news - It would be Kentucky after that and I don't know if could score 40 points on them.

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

[Bull Martin]

Based on TODAY (LOL) we would get UNLV and then potentially FSU. Now that would be fun. Bad news - It would be Kentucky after that and I don't know if could score 40 points on them.

http://espn.go.com/m...ll/bracketology

We'd never make it to Kentucky so rest assured we wouldn't get embarrassed by them.

[Doc]

That's how big the SHU loss to DePaul was. We are now firmly ahead of them and they would likely need 2 wins and a USF loss to pass us.

[dabull80]

That's how big the SHU loss to DePaul was. We are now firmly ahead of them and they would likely need 2 wins and a USF loss to pass us.

That was really a bad loss at a bad time for SHU.

[dabull80]

Based on TODAY (LOL) we would get UNLV and then potentially FSU. Now that would be fun. Bad news - It would be Kentucky after that and I don't know if could score 40 points on them.

http://espn.go.com/m...ll/bracketology

We'd never make it to Kentucky so rest assured we wouldn't get embarrassed by them.

Based on TODAY (LOL) we would get UNLV and then potentially FSU. Now that would be fun. Bad news - It would be Kentucky after that and I don't know if could score 40 points on them.

http://espn.go.com/m...ll/bracketology

We'd never make it to Kentucky so rest assured we wouldn't get embarrassed by them.

I could easily see us getting to KY. Do you really think UNLV and FSU are unbeatable ?