Six is the magic number

[Guest]

Update....

Let's look at who isn't going to NY, to get a better idea whether USF 3-8 will make it or not.

Cincinnati (1-9) and Rutgers (3-9) are clearly not going to be in the Top 12.

That means only two more teams will be left out.

Seton Hall (3-7) looks like it will be one of those staying home. They have games left at WVU, at L'ville, and against Pittsburgh.  They also play Cincy.  Their remaining two games are at U Conn, and at home against USF.  [Predicted record: 4-12 ]

Connecticut (4-6) will probably earn a trip to NY, but it won't be that easy - with trips to Syracuse and Georgetown.  But they play Rutgers, and get Villanova, Louisville, and Seton Hall at home. [Predicted record: 7-9]

Villanova (5-5) is a team USF is fighting.  USF needs to have more Big East wins, but it doesn't look good to catch Nova.  They play Rutgers and Cincy at home.  On the other hand, they get Syracuse and Georgetown at home and travel to Marqutte and U Conn. [Predicted record: 8-8]

Depaul (5-6) might be the only team USF can catch.  USF plays Depaul twice (home and home) down the road.  Depaul also play Marquette at home and in South Bend against Notre Dame.  The only catch is that they get Cincinnati at home. [Predicted record: 6-10]

St. Johns (5-6) is another possible, but tough to catch team.  First, they hold the head to head tie breaker.  Second, they play Rutgers at home, at Syracuse, a home-and-home with Providence, and at Louisville.  [Predicted record: 7-9]

Syracuse (5-5) will be almost impossible to reach.  USF would need to beat the Orangemen here, and hope for some help.  SU plays St. John's, U Conn, and G'town in the Dome, and travels to Providence and Villanova. [Predicted record: 9-7]

Providence (5-5) may be the last team that is within USF's sights.  A game at Notre Dame, a home and home with St. John's, two home games against Syracuse and West Virginia.  The key game could be the Friar's visit to USF.  [Predicted record: 8-8]

Notre Dame (6-5) is not impossible, but USF needs some help here, too.  Holding the head-to-head tiebreaker, USF could tie the Irish and get to NY.  However, the schedule doesn't look good. Providence, Depaul, and Marquette visit ND, while Cincy and Rutgers are the only remaining road games.  ND is bad on the road, but not that bad.  [Predicted record: 9-7]

It still looks like Depaul is the team to beat here.  

If USF can beat them twice, that gives USF five wins.  Depaul should also lose to Marquette and Notre Dame, giving them ten losses.  Then USF needs to beat one of Syracuse or Providence at home or Seton Hall on the road to get to 6 wins.  [Predicted record for USF: 6-10]

That seems, to me, to be the only course to get to the #12 seed and Madison Square Garden.

---

Predicted Order of Finish:

1 Pittsburgh 13-3

2 Georgetown 12-4

3 Marquette 12-4

4 West Virginia 10-6

5 Notre Dame 9-7

6 Louisville 9-7

7 Syracuse 9-7

8 Villanova 8-8

9 Providence 8-8

10 Connecticut 7-9

11 St. John's 7-9

12 South Florida 6-10

13 Depaul 6-10

14 Seton Hall 4-12

15 Rutgers 3-13

16 Cincinnati 1-15

[smazza]

usf will not win 2 big east road  games this year

where can i bet all my money on that proposition NOT happening

[Guest Ari_Hinkelberger]

we haven't won a road game in 2 1/2 years and my boy is saying we are going to win our last 2...

HA!!!!

[Triple B]

my boy is saying we are going to win our last 2...

All you really this stupid?? Who said we were going to win our last 2 away games?

[Guest]

my boy is saying we are going to win our last 2...

All you really this stupid?? Who said we were going to win our last 2 away games?

He probably means me... I predicted a 6-10 record... that means wins @ DePaul, at home against DePaul,... then one of either vs Syracuse, vs Providence, or @ Seton Hall...

The easiest just might be to win the last two road games...

[Triple B]

my boy is saying we are going to win our last 2...

All you really this stupid?? Who said we were going to win our last 2 away games?

He probably means me... I predicted a 6-10 record... that means wins @ DePaul, at home against DePaul,... then one of either vs Syracuse, vs Providence, or @ Seton Hall...

The easiest just might be to win the last two road games...

Sorry, Jim, nowhere did you say we'd win the last two away games .... Although the last line of your post I quoted should get a similar response out of ari. There is no way winning one, let alone two, away games should be the easiest anything.  

[Guest]

my boy is saying we are going to win our last 2...

All you really this stupid?? Who said we were going to win our last 2 away games?

He probably means me... I predicted a 6-10 record... that means wins @ DePaul, at home against DePaul,... then one of either vs Syracuse, vs Providence, or @ Seton Hall...

The easiest just might be to win the last two road games...

Sorry, Jim, nowhere did you say we'd win the last two away games .... Although the last line of your post I quoted should get a similar response out of ari. There is no way winning one, let alone two, away games should be the easiest anything.  

"Easiest" is, of course, completely relative.  I don't see USF beating Syracuse, and I don't think USF can beat Providence...

So, if I were to rank the remaining five games from "easiest" to "hardest" I would get:

vs Depaul

@ Seton Hall

@ Depaul

vs Providence

vs Syracuse

So the "easiest" way to get three wins, would include winning the last two road games.

[flsportsfan83]

never happen

[BullDoug]

Win two of three homies and one roadie.  That's 6 then pray for the tie breaker w/Depaul.  Win all the homies and one roadie and breath easy.

[dabull80]

Syracuse is a hard team to figure out.  They beat Marq on the road by 12 then barley beat Cinci at home by one.

Hope that Andy Rautins doesn't get hot from three point range or it could be a long night for the Bulls.

The Orangeman also can throw up alot of bricks from the free-thow line.

Still think 6 is the magic number.