I think ECU is better than we are giving them credit for. Yes, they lost to NCAT, but they beat a UNC team that is currently undefeated in ACC play. UNC beat Pitt this week, who beat our familiar foe GA Tech. So all in all, I think ECU is a decent team this year.
That being said, we have played horrible in 7 out of our last 8 quarters. If we can turn that around and start playing like our 4th quarters against GA tech and illinois, we could win 11 or 12 games. If we keep playing to the level of our competition, we will win 8 to 9 games, with losses against Houston, Cincy, and UCF.