PSUers think they're gonna win by 30

[Guest]

What kind of numb nuts are you?  PSU scored 30 or more points 3 times last year.  USF gave up an average of 32 points per game last year against a very weak schedule. (34.4 against D-1a teams).  It is just as unlikely based on last years performances for USF to not give up at least 30 points to Penn State.

Okay... Penn State scored 30 points against: the MAC powerhouses of Akron (first game of the year), UCF (who lost EVERY game last year), and Big Ten disappointment Michigan State (in the last game of the year when it didn't mean anything for MSU - no hope for a bowl game when they played)...

Against the rest of their schedule they scored:

7 - 3 - 7 - 13 - 4 - 10 - 7 - 22 ... not exactly a juggernaut of an offense...

----

USF's opponents scored a bunch against us, that is true...

So, when Penn State has the ball it becomes the battle of the stoppable force against the moveable object...

[USFPDiddy]

What kind of numb nuts are you?  PSU scored 30 or more points 3 times last year.  USF gave up an average of 32 points per game last year against a very weak schedule. (34.4 against D-1a teams).  It is just as unlikely based on last years performances for USF to not give up at least 30 points to Penn State.

Personally I do not think this game will be a blow out, But i don't think it will be close.   A 10-14 point win with the outcome never really in doubt.

Jeez, even if PSU put up 30, they'd still have to hold us to 0 to win by 30.  PSU jusnt isnt THAT much more athletic.

Although our schedule wasn't that great last year, there were some nasty offensive teams on it such as UL and Pitt.  TCU, while abysmal on defense last year, was also a high scoring team (probably why our win over them looked like a basketball score).

I'm with you though, going into the season PSU deserves to be favored.  Just not by anywhere near 30.  No matter how you slice it, we're a pair of 4-7 teams.  PSU played a harder schedule, so based on that should be thought the better team...but if EITHER of us look like we did last year, fans of that respective school should be disappointed!

That's a fair pick for a loyal PSU fan, 10-14 pts.

[ChiTownBull]

A big part of this game will be mental and in the past this has not been a strong point on our team.

We usually make stupid penalties in all games and it comes back to bite us in the A$$ in Big games.

Also, we need to keep from turning the ball over and force turnovers....I will be there hoping for the above but not sure I will witness it....

[dabull80]

Is it really a 26 point spread ?  Where ?  I got money and want to make some more.

[USFMikeB]

Okay... Penn State scored 30 points against: the MAC powerhouses of Akron (first game of the year), UCF (who lost EVERY game last year), and Big Ten disappointment Michigan State (in the last game of the year when it didn't mean anything for MSU - no hope for a bowl game when they played)...

Against the rest of their schedule they scored:

7 - 3 - 7 - 13 - 4 - 10 - 7 - 22 ... not exactly a juggernaut of an offense...

----

USF's opponents scored a bunch against us, that is true...

So, when Penn State has the ball it becomes the battle of the stoppable force against the moveable object...

Good analysis, Jim.  The reality that PSU fans will never admit is that this does have the potential of being a very close game, but home field advantage of a 100K crowd gives PSU the definite upper hand.  PSU will likely win, but not by the amounts their koolaid deluded minds think.

[FlaNitLion]

As a die hard PSU fan, I'll have to throw my 2 cents in.  Normally, I would say that PSU comes out flat in the opener keeping the offense very vanilla.  JoePa doesn't show too much in the OOC games.  But I am getting a feeling that this year is a different kind of year.  Joe is desperate to produce a winner before he takes his final walk through the tunnel.  For the first time in over 5 years, Joe has legit 4.3 speed on the offense - not just a single 4.3 speedster, but two of them.  Joe historically doesn't play true freshman.  He has already stated that these 2 kids (Dereck Williams and Justin King) will be playing this year.  Don't be fooled by our scoring stats last year - this is a very different offense than we've had.

Defense - well, returning 9 on a top 5 squad bodes well for us.  We have shut down corners, an assassin at safety (Chris Harrell), a very stout linebacker squad (Poz and Connor are going to be All Americans before they are done at PSU), and a capable D line.  You'll score some points, but they will be hard earned and will take its toll on your offense.  

Overall, I'm expecting a close game at halftime with a lot of mistakes in the first half.  I think we start clicking on offense in the second half and start putting points on the board.  I think our D will also put some points on the board as well.  I'm not going to predict a 20+ point spread since I really have little confidence until I see the team play, but I think it will be comfortable in the 4th quarter.  

Overall, I wish you guys much success in the Big East.  I think you are a program that is definitely on the rise and will be someone to contend with in the years to come.  Just keep getting local talent and keep these kids from going to UF or FSU.  Friends dont let friends go to those schools!

Good luck Bulls.

[Cubanbull]

I think this game will be a very interesting an telling game for USF. There are several questions that i will be looking at in this game.

1. Has our Defense improved enough to keep PSU of the scoreboard. While i realize that he is high on those two 4.3 freshmen, the facts are that they still are freshmen and usually those kids dont become a force until a few games under their belt. Also PSU 's returning QB only completed 36% of his passes last year thats worse than our own.So all that 4.3 speed will be useless if he cant get the ball to them.

2. Has our QB situation improved enough to be somewhat successful vs a very good PSU defense.

Overall i think the most important part is for USF not to commit TO and hope that our defense has improved enough to stop a PSU offense that is NOT as good as those schools that tagged us for 30+ last year

[Cubanbull]

Here are the comparisons between the PSU projected starting QB and PJ's

PSU: Robinson SR 194-86 44.3%,1181 yds,6 TDS 11 int

USF: PJ JR 306-144  47.1% 1972 yds 10tds,11 int

As bad as PJ has looked he actually has better stats than their QB

[Guest PSU Nut]

Here are the comparisons between the PSU projected starting QB and PJ's

PSU: Robinson SR 194-86 44.3%,1181 yds,6 TDS 11 int

USF: PJ JR 306-144  47.1% 1972 yds 10tds,11 int

As bad as PJ has looked he actually has better stats than their QB

the hard part about judging Robinson is this is his first year playing full time at Qb.  Over the past couple of years he has played RB and WR.  Last year he was primarly a wr but practiced at both positions.  I think having him practice full time at Qb will really help him improve alot.  

[Papa_Bull]

Drink up!!!!