I do believe it is, but upon further look, it seems the Bulls have 90 total more rushing yards than UCF-so you have that. That said, their SOS is 48th in the country, yours is 67th. Also, their rushing defense is 33rd in the country, yours is 110th. I personally believe they will run all over you, like most everyone else has. Now, the question is, how well will your running game do against one of the best running defenses in the country? If you win that game, it will be in the air imo.
Calling people stupid because they disagree is childish, and reflects poorly upon your fanbase. There is objective reasoning to believe X running game is better than Y running game in this case, I even posed a reasonable way to beat the X team.