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bullsfan1983

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Everything posted by bullsfan1983

  1. 2-5 are all pretty close in poll points. In 2017 there were 5 teams within 2 games of first. Wouldn’t worry too much about it.
  2. Boise out of conference schedule next year is Troy, BYU, UConn, and Oklahoma State. Even if they run the table and Oklahoma State is a top 4 team they won’t make the CFP playoff. It’s a suckers bet.
  3. You aren’t. These were components of the old BCS. You can read about major selectors that award national championships here. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/College_football_national_championships_in_NCAA_Division_I_FBS the three I mentioned are major selectors. UCF is actual #1 in more than 10 computer rankings in the Massey composite. Maybe that’s what you were thinking of.
  4. They are currently at #1 in Wolfe, and #2 in Colley Matrix and Anderson & Hester. In those two they trail only Georgia with a good sized lead on Alabama. You can do a hypothetical game of Alabama over Georgia on the Colley Matrix site and see UCF would be #1.
  5. Best way would be to have some sort of loss criteria to avoid a 3 or 4 loss conference champion sliding in (maybe have that for the non power 5), but at the very least any undefeated team should get a shot in the playoff.
  6. Actually all consensus titles are claimed. Unclaimed titles are those awarded by a major selector but not recognized by the school. I have never heard of a claimed title where a major selector doesn’t pick the team as #1. In 2010 TCU was #1 in the rankings of 1 selector, and in 2008 Utah was #1 in two rankings, but the schools did not claim a national title. I believe UCF has the chance to be #1 in 3 major selector rankings if Alabama beats Georgia in the CFP championship game.
  7. Auburn had a month to rest for the Peach Bowl. The wear and tear is what caused them to lose the SEC championship game when their conference player of the year was a shell of himself due to a shoulder injury. That player had 27 carries against UCF even when he was a NFL prospect.
  8. To get in we would need to beat 2 high ranked teams out of conference, then beat probably 3 ranked teams in conference. Basically have a situation like this year with Memphis and UCF and beat them both and then beat Memphis again in the CCG. Lots of dominoes would have to fall into place to get a shot. Even then they will still come up with excuses to keep us out.
  9. I think Houston had a chance last year as they had 2 #3 teams scheduled out of conference and beat them both. They would have been on the radar but tripped up with the AAC conference schedule.
  10. I know Houston beat #3 Oklahoma and #3 Louisville last year in the regular season, but am not sure there have been many other matchups against top 10 P5. Tulane lost to #2 Oklahoma this year. Memphis beat #13 Ole Miss in 2015. Would be tough to compile a record and not sure it would mean much since you are talking all of G5 vs the top 10 teams. I doubt even P5 teams would have a very favorable record against top 10 teams in general. I think the bowl record is a better indicator.
  11. 2017 UCF vs #7 Auburn - W 2016 Western Michigan vs. #8 Wisconsin - L 2015 Houston vs #9 Florida State - W 2014 Boise State vs. #10 Arizona - W 2013 UCF vs #6 Baylor - W 2010 TCU vs #5 Wisconsin - W 2008 Utah vs #4 Alabama - W 2007 Hawaii vs #5 Georgia - L 2006 Boise State vs #9 Oklahoma - W Either 6-2 or 7-2 depending if you include UCF in 2013 in the first year of the American which is a G5 conference but had the Big East AQ spot. Edit: Realized you said regular season record. Hmm that would be interesting to see.
  12. If they expand the playoff they aren't throwing an automatic berth to the G5. IMO that is what makes the NCAA tournament exciting. You can watch Kansas be a 1-3 seed and get knocked out by a double digit seed **** near ever year. 12-14 seeds knocking out top seeds is fairly common in the NCAA tournament. G5 teams beating P5 teams in BCS/NY6 bowls is the norm. Why would they give G5 teams a shot at the playoff? They want to control the matchups and get Alabama in every year since they are a cash cow.
  13. The bridges are already burned. The power conferences want a split from the G5 and all of the money. UCF just pointing out their hypocrisy in claiming that everyone has a shot and then a team goes 13-0 and doesn't even crack the top 10 in the committees eyes, but beats the team they were touting as the best team in the best conference division (SEC West) just a few short weeks ago. It may reek of desperation, but these are desperate times for the AAC to try to get some inclusion in the playoff system (maybe expansion to 8 with a G5 auto bid) before the gap widens even further.
  14. Why an arbitrary cutoff at 30? Is Memphis 31 or something? If you make the cutoff 41 then UCF is 4-0 and Alabama is 4-1. The point is Alabama has a loss. I'm not saying UCF is a top 4 team, but their resume is practically the same as Alabama who didn't even win their conference and backed into the CFP.
  15. If anything this is proof that Alabama didn't belong in the playoff since they have a weak SOS, a loss, and no conference title. FPI is a made up ESPN ranking so of course it will favor the teams they have in their playoff. Florida is a top 50 FPI. Florida State is top 20. You think those are good victories. Also Memphis lost by 1 to push them (barely) out of the top 25. Top 25 is an arbitrary cutoff. Alabama gets credit for 6 loss Florida State who needed to beat 3 cupcakes at the end to get a winning record, but you can disregard UCF's 3 wins over 10 win teams in USF and Memphis because of some ESPN FPI formula? These are Florida State's wins Southern Miss Wake Forest Duke Syracuse Delaware State Florida Louisiana Monroe
  16. In fairness to UCF I think they deserve a shot. I think any undefeated team should have a path to a championship otherwise why play the games. I don’t think they would beat a team in this years playoffs, but they could. TCU was undefeated in 2010 and didn’t get a national championship, but at least the teams that did play in the BCS title game that year were also undefeated. 4 team playoff this year and none of them undefeated and 2 with bad losses.
  17. Didn’t Villanova just win the championship? Butler in the championship a few years back. Gonzaga a national power in the mix every year. In a CFP model these teams would be eliminated before the season began.
  18. It hurts to see UCF go undefeated but this helps churn up the debate to give American teams a shot at a national championship. As of right now that is the main recruiting disadvantage of the AAC is there is a perception that you cannot play for a national championship. Expand the playoffs to 8 and that would be huge. The ESPN cartel likes to spin the narrative that the American cannot compete with P5 teams, but the proof is in the pudding. We have held our own quite well. We definitely aren’t at a G5 level. The perception gap between the American and P5 conference teams narrowed a bit today. Just as it did when we beat TT and navy throttled Virginia.
  19. That its what I was saying. The rating is percentage of all viewers watching the game. Total number of television viewers depends on the time of day. Later in the day is more viewers.
  20. The rating is more like share of the market. different time slots have different number of total television viewers. More people watching tv as the day progresses particularly accounting for the west coast and 3 hour time difference.
  21. 5 turnovers and 2 pick 6s. Said there was a GA calling plays. Too bad.
  22. I didn’t think the army navy game was that exciting aside from the snow factor.
  23. Sun belt didn’t have a CCG, the other 3 drew 2.3 mil viewers combined. Temple-Navy drew just over 2 million. 1.3 million were for the MAC championship on the Friday before featuring an undefeated team.
  24. The AAC is already putting up much better ratings numbers than the other "non power" conferences. There is a sizeable gap actually. Black Friday match between Houston and Memphis on ABC last year had over 3 million viewers and was ahead of a PAC 12 matchup on FOX and an SEC matchup on CBS. AAC Championship last season drew 50% more viewers than an undefeated team in the MAC championship, more than double the CUSA championship, and triple the MWC championship. 2015 AAC Championship drew 30% more viewers than the MAC, CUSA, and MWC championships combined, and the MAC championship was on a Friday with no competition. There is plenty of ammunition for the AAC commish to go into the next round of negotiations and get a better deal for the conference.
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