WBB: Tournament Scenario

[Doc]

It's that time of the year when we have to grasp at mathematical near-impossibilities just to make the lousy conference tournament.  2009 can't come soon enough.  The women are already ahead of Cincinnati, Providence, and Seton Hall, and their best shot at catching someone is actually 10th seeded Villanova (5-9) as USF loses head-to-head tie-breakers with Georgetown or St. John's (both 4-9).  So assuming the teams currently behind us don't pass us, we need the following as the most likely scenario:

1) USF wins two of three to go 5-11

2) Villanova loses both remaining games (Marq, @Lou) to go 5-11

3) Georgetown and St. John's don't both win exactly one more game; we are left out in a four-way tie at 5-11, but can get in if Seton Hall wins two of three to force a five-way tie

Overall, depressingly unlikely, but if we should win either of the next two games and remain mathematically alive, I'll likely make the trip to Milwaukee for the finale.