bcgruber

There are a few teams I don't want to see in USF's side of the bracket.....Purdue, UK, Uconn, UH, UF, UNC

I think with the UAB loss we clinch the #1 seed

don't think we will be favored to win the next game my guess would be uncc -2.5

yes thats a good win I'm just saying they shouldnt be 50 spots higher in the NET

Something also should be said about the play of the whole season, while it was an adjusted schedule, we have clearly been the best team in the league and the NET should more closely resemble that. Should FAU be higer then us or us higher then them is debateable, but a 50 difference with FAU and 40 with SMU shows there is a problem

And that is why the comittee should be watching teams and games and not looking at numbers. Numbers might be okay for actual seeding, but not necessarily for selection

watch alot of college basketball and determine for yourself which is the best metric. hopefully this is what the committe does instead of just go off one computer model. If our fate is in the hands of computer models.....we need the citibank compitetion for rocky mascot AI nerds to get back on the case

That was absolute best case...would rather stay in the 11 spot

Agree...think we lose one or two going down the stretch

Bubble Watch 2024: Brace yourself for NCAA tournament drama For all the success Amir Abdur-Rahim and Chris Youngblood have found in their first coaching and playing seasons, respectively, at South Florida, the Bulls have a bit more work to do to get onto the bubble. This week, South Florida broke into the men's AP Top 25. With good reason. Anyone who watched the Bulls defeat Florida Atlantic and SMU on consecutive Sundays knows USF is playing like a top-25 team. Amir Abdur-Rahim's team has won 13 straight. At 21-5 and 14-1 in American play, the Bulls have already clinched at least a share of the conference's regular-season title. Yet South Florida is nowhere to be found here at Bubble Watch. How can this be? On the measures the NCAA men's basketball committee uses to select the field, the Bulls are not yet at the same level as bubble teams. Then again, the margin between South Florida and the bubble has been shrinking for weeks. The strongest portions of USF's profile are its résumé metrics. NCAA-approved rankings such as strength of record and KPI both show the Bulls in the 60s or even in the 50s, depending on the day. These aren't stellar rankings, perhaps, but, for a team that suffered early-season losses at home to Maine and Central Michigan, they're impressive nonetheless. Conversely, South Florida is less competitive with bubble rivals in measures of team strength. Earlier this month, Bubble Watch chronicled the daunting selection odds traditionally faced by teams below the mid-50s in the NET rankings. The Bulls are in the 80s in the NET and in the 90s at KenPom. Still, Rutgers wrangled an at-large bid from the committee in 2022 despite a NET ranking of 77. If South Florida keeps winning, it can at least equal the Scarlet Knights on this criterion. Since the start of February, the Bulls have already raised their NET ranking by more than 30 spots. By "keep winning," by the way, Bubble Watch recommends USF keep doing so all the way to the finals of the American tournament. On this subject, Abdur-Rahim might consider texting either Utah coach Craig Smith or VCU coach Ryan Odom for advice. Smith and Odom were the head coaches at Utah State in the 2021 and 2023 tournaments, respectively. In both years, the Aggies stormed into March on win streaks that carried them all the way to the Mountain West tournament finals. In both years, USU lost in the conference tournament finals to San Diego State. Nevertheless, the Aggies earned double-digit seeds in both brackets. That's the kind of run that South Florida is on now. That's the kind of run the Bulls will need to extend to earn an at-large bid. Or, who knows, USF might just take the committee out of this question entirely and win the automatic bid. Either way, at 13 wins in a row and counting, South Florida is fast approaching bubble status. On the measures the NCAA men's basketball committee uses to select the field, the Bulls are not yet at the same level as bubble teams. Then again, the margin between South Florida and the bubble has been shrinking for weeks. The strongest portions of USF's profile are its résumé metrics. NCAA-approved rankings such as strength of record and KPI both show the Bulls in the 60s or even in the 50s, depending on the day. These aren't stellar rankings, perhaps, but, for a team that suffered early-season losses at home to Maine and Central Michigan, they're impressive nonetheless. Conversely, South Florida is less competitive with bubble rivals in measures of team strength. Earlier this month, Bubble Watch chronicled the daunting selection odds traditionally faced by teams below the mid-50s in the NET rankings. The Bulls are in the 80s in the NET and in the 90s at KenPom. Still, Rutgers wrangled an at-large bid from the committee in 2022 despite a NET ranking of 77. If South Florida keeps winning, it can at least equal the Scarlet Knights on this criterion. Since the start of February, the Bulls have already raised their NET ranking by more than 30 spots. By "keep winning," by the way, Bubble Watch recommends USF keep doing so all the way to the finals of the American tournament. On this subject, Abdur-Rahim might consider texting either Utah coach Craig Smith or VCU coach Ryan Odom for advice. Smith and Odom were the head coaches at Utah State in the 2021 and 2023 tournaments, respectively. In both years, the Aggies stormed into March on win streaks that carried them all the way to the Mountain West tournament finals. In both years, USU lost in the conference tournament finals to San Diego State. Nevertheless, the Aggies earned double-digit seeds in both brackets. That's the kind of run that South Florida is on now. That's the kind of run the Bulls will need to extend to earn an at-large bid. Or, who knows, USF might just take the committee out of this question entirely and win the automatic bid. Either way, at 13 wins in a row and counting, South Florida is fast approaching bubble status.

Win last 6 be on a 19 game winning streak which would be the longest in the nation heading into the tourney ( I think St Marys loses to Zags) be ranked in top 20 and have a 7 or 6 seed. That is best case scanario. Lose 2 more games and we might be on the outside looking in

thats possible but he was accepted and on the team for a cup of coffee, so if it was grades, don't think he would have ever actually been on the team since nothing could have changed in that time

Happy and Bummed at same time. thought we would be 21-23 but baby steps. Beat Charlotte and we should move up

why did he leave the first time? so why would you expect him to be welcomed back?

I like it but they don't have the boost anymore....at least for me. So I added MSU ML for a 4 team

UNT losing today to UTSA will not help our NET

theres others that should be on that list that were excluded as well. At least 5-6 that shouldn't be on that list at all

Believe its in Vegas this year, I know they were also talking indy in the old barn of Butler as well

That is a great matchup....the team I would really like to see if we get in is Dayton. I think that team is way overrated and seeded

but you predict SMU to win by 10.....thats not a toss up.

For what its worth we have moved up a seed line 11 is about as good as we can do...and is my favorite seed line to be a cinderella.

1) South Florida 2) 6 3) Selton - 19 4) Stroud -7 5) 77%

I thought you were a huge SMU fan and thought they were worth the risk of winning the conf? I'm with ya ML if SMU is favored Sunday. Think USF will win outright. The game against Char is the one that scares me more

I'm not saying better, just not a huge decrease either, its not as big as a drop off as people want to make of it. If we had kept those teams we would be a 3-4 bid leauge. My bigger gripe is the metric NET is garbage.