I like how you are thinking. The challenge is that around 1,000 Division I basketball players transfer every year. Most of these transfers occur shortly after the season ends and most HS players who are available in March are either among the best players in the nation and they're waiting to see what the rosters look like at schools like Duke, Kentucky and Kansas. Or they are not good enough to be impact players in the American. Or they have academic issues and are likely headed for a JuCo.
But the players who are available and are good enough are...transfers.
It is quite the conundrum.
All the way up to 33%