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ckparrothead

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Posts posted by ckparrothead

  1.  

     

     

    Not worries. The video compilation software I use is AVS.

     

    Looks like a good deal for $59 on sale. Is this really a lifetime subscription?

     

    http://www.avs4you.com/register.aspx

     

    In my experience it is.

     

    But if you're for example trying to screen-capture a streaming feed, I don't believe AVS has a tool that does that for you. I have to use another tool for that, and it's not particularly awesome but I don't have the energy to go find something better.

     

    You use the AVS software to cut up video files that you download, add effects, re-compile and re-publish, etc. There are actually a whole suite of tools that do other things.

     

     

    Thanks, I've been looking for a video-editing package for a while. I'll get this one.

     

    If you could PM me what you're using for screen-capture, I'd appreciate that too.

     

     

    I use My Screen Recorder Pro when I want to screen capture something I'm viewing online, usually YouTube videos.

  2.  

    Going for it on 4th & 1 has an insanely high success percentage.

     

    Clearly, that's why we made it.

     

     

    That's a highly ridiculous thing to say and I think you know that.

     

    JTrue brought up the correct point here. If you miss a 30 yard field goal, it doesn't mean you made the wrong call to kick the field goal instead of going for it. You make 30 yard field goals 95% of the time.

     

    What I said is absolutely true. NFL percentages on 3rd & 1 or 4th & 1 are 69%. And defense in the NFL is a lot more stout than in college football, so the percentages in college are even higher. Especially when it's an FBS school versus an FCS school, and even more especially when you'd been gashing that FCS school for 300 yards at 9 yards per carry on the ground that evening.

     

    The success rate was probably 80%. But that means 20% of the time it fails. You took an 80% chance of ENDING the football game right there on that play...and the cost of it was only 15 yards.

     

    No-brainer. Absolute no-brainer.

  3. ckparrothead has been preaching this guy was a great pickup for us and the best rb we got out of the class basically since day 1.

     

    i wanted him at the safety position but boy was I wrong.  but it's possible I'm not the only one who wanted him at safety:

     

    USF Football â€@USFFootball 4h

    "He's [Marlon Mack] a phenomenal athlete and just a great football player. He probably could be an All-American at safety too." -Taggart

     

    I saw his tape at safety too and obviously he's very physically compelling, so he can run and chase and really light people up. But the side of the ball where I saw natural-born instincts was clearly on the offensive side.

     

    I have NO clue why this guy wasn't more highly recruited and/or rated. His tape stood out to me easily as much as Alex Collins' tape (whom I also had it hard for) and Arkansas certainly did a good job sweeping him up.

     

    Is it possible that the Sarasota-to-Fort Myers area (SWFL) is a little under-recruited? That's where I went to High School and I know we had a few blue chip prospects out of my High School, so I never really thought of it as under-recruited...but maybe it is?

  4.  

    Not worries. The video compilation software I use is AVS.

     

    Looks like a good deal for $59 on sale. Is this really a lifetime subscription?

     

    http://www.avs4you.com/register.aspx

     

    In my experience it is.

     

    But if you're for example trying to screen-capture a streaming feed, I don't believe AVS has a tool that does that for you. I have to use another tool for that, and it's not particularly awesome but I don't have the energy to go find something better.

     

    You use the AVS software to cut up video files that you download, add effects, re-compile and re-publish, etc. There are actually a whole suite of tools that do other things.

  5. I personally can't even believe this is an argument. I've been covering and analyzing football for a long time and the decision on that play probably should have been a dive play regardless of anything about records.

     

    It was 4th & 1 at the opponent's 35 yard line. Actually it was a little less than a yard, closer to two feet. The ball was just over the 35 yard line and the 1st down marker was right on the 34 yard line. That's a coin flip situation even if you completely disregard the score and clock.

     

    If they can move the ball just two feet, the game is over. And the percentages were absolutely with them moving the ball that far. They had gashed WCU's defense for 294 yards on the ground at about 9 yards per carry.

     

    The field goal gets you nothing because it would still be a two-touchdown game at 15 points (touchdown, two-point conversion, touchdown, extra point). As it stood at 12 points there was no way to tie or win the game with a combination of a touchdown and field goal, so two touchdowns were already necessary for WCU at that point. If you miss the 52-yard field goal you give them the ball near mid-field, giving them a nice leg-up on the first of those touchdowns. And if you made the field goal, you've gained virtually nothing.

     

    If you punt from the 35 yard line, you're probably going to end up with a touchback. You can try and drop it inside the 20 yard line but WCU would just let the ball roll into the end zone. Maybe your punter can kick the thing out of bounds at the 10 yard line but he'd have to be extremely good at directional punting to do that, and we've got no clue if that's even a tool in his toolbox.

     

    So punting nets you what, 15 yards? And it puts the game back in their hands. And they'd already won an onside kick in the second half.

     

    Going for it on 4th & 1 has an insanely high success percentage. In the NFL the percentage is 69%. I don't know what it is in NCAA football but I'm positive it's higher. And it's FAR higher in a game where you've already gashed the opponent for 300 yards on the ground at 9 yards per carry. So you're tossing 15 little yards into the pot for like an 80% chance to END the game.

     

    Yeah. That's an effing no-brainer.

     

    The only part of the decision that MIGHT have been affected by the possibility of Marlon Mack getting the record was the decision to let Mack try for that 1 yard rather than going with someone who wasn't gassed. But there are also football reasons you could do that regardless of records and whatnot.

     

    For one thing he was clearly the hot hand and the best back in the stables.

     

    For another, I'm sure evaluation is ongoing especially in a game against Western Carolina where you're winning by two touchdowns with less than two minutes left in the game. You keep feeding Mack because you want to know where his limits are.

    • Upvote 1
  6. I thought the offensive game planning was solid last night and that's Coach Willie's area of expertise. The quarterback's execution was clearly letting down the game plan. We KNOW that Coach Willie is a great recruiter. But until he can make that recruiting prowess count at the all-important quarterback position, the team will probably underperform.

     

    I was extremely unimpressed with the defensive game plan last night. It looked to me like the coaches had no idea what kind of offense WCU was going to run until they actually got on the field and saw it. Like they were just going to show up and improvise.

     

    I know Chuck Bresnahan's reputation and resume, but I really have to question the advance scouting and game planning effort from last night.

  7. Below is a synopsis of what I've seen in Marlon Mack that made me excited. I thought he showed all of the same last night. It was against WCU...I get that...but he looked good from start to finish. The best RB I have seen take carries for the bulls since Mike Ford, and we know that Ford was a tragic dummy while this kid seems to have his head screwed on straight.

     

    Not sure I'd count on any receivers to make an immediate impact, for a number of reasons. As many have already stated, Tyre McCants sticks out like a sore thumb. I suppose if any young guy at that position stands a chance it would be him. But I don't think any young guy will really make an impact there.

     

    The RB position is one that stands out as a place where a young kid could make an impression, like Darius Tice did a year ago becoming the second-leading rusher on the team. He was the young guy at that position a year ago I thought could make an early impact because he had the vision to be a safe runner, picking and choosing his holes wisely and not letting the play call down. He wasn't the most physically impressive guy, didn't have the sexy power or tantalyzing tackle-break ability that many were looking for with other guys...but I knew from a coaching standpoint his vision in the backfield would make the coaches feel safe giving him the ball.

     

    There's no Marcus Shaw to dominate the position this year and as I stated before, Tice is not exactly a physically dynamic player. He's a trustworthy player but not necessarily a physically compelling one. So this position is a lot more open than a year ago.

     

    And the guy I like to rise to the top among the young runners is Marlon Mack. With all due respect to De'Ernest Johnson, I thought Marlon Mack's tape stood out more. Mack has the vision that stood out to me with Darius Tice, but he's also got physically dynamic abilities. Some of the things that Mack sees from the backfield are very impressive as he recognizes threats quickly and even sees threats at the second level. He's able to use his speed, agility and size to capitalize on his vision.

     

    Austin Reiter echoed the point after last night:

     

     

    “He has great vision as a back,†senior center Austin Reiter said. “He really makes our job a lot easier because when there are creases and whatnot his vision really gets him on the right track. As you can see, he broke a couple free tonight.â€

     

    Vision for a tailback recruit is probably the thing that people forget to really take a close look at when we're all looking at these new kids coming in and predicting which ones make an impact and which do not. The coaches will feel more comfortable with a player that has the vision to see things before he's even got the ball in his hands, as he'll keep himself out of trouble and protect the integrity of the play call. So the vision gets the guy his opportunities with the coaches, and it allows his physical abilities to shine. I thought Tice had the vision, though not necessarily the physical abilities. Mack's tape blew me away because he clearly had both.

  8.  

    Not taking away anything from D'Ernest Johnson as he's a great recruit but I'm surprised Marlon Mack isn't getting more love.

     

    Mack's tape just screams at me, kind of like Tyre McCant's tape.

     

    Both Marlon Mack and D'Ernest Johnson played in Class 5A ball. It's just curious to me why one gets so much more love than the other.

     

     

    Well, here's to hoping they all get Heisman votes as BULLS!!!!

     

     

    Well, one of them just might if he keeps going at this pace!

     

    24 runs for 274 yards and 4 TDs? Are you kidding me?

  9. I went with Steven Bench. Mike White is going to be here a while. His time will come. Bench has the most college football practice and experience under his belt and furthermore he brings mobility and option possibilities to the play calling. He seemed to be well ahead of Mike White in the spring and unless that's changed in the few weeks they've had of camp (I haven't paid attention) then I think Bench is probably the favorite.

     

    Although part of me wanted to vote for "Won't name a QB this week"...just because that sort of thing seems to always happen in these situations.

  10.  

     

    Bresnahan has run the 3-4 every place he's been at.  Last season was the first he didn't.  Also if you look at his earlier interviews when he first got in,  on Scout, 247, and rivals... the ones from last spring... when asked would in run the 3-4 he said personnel will dictate that.  He said with four stud ends you want to maximize their ability.  But he said we would be running it in the future.  Our defensive recruiting has been for the 3-4... has nobody not noticed?  

     

     

    He ran the 4-3 in Cincinnati (at least part of the time) and in Oakland (at least part of the time).  I haven't followed his career enough to know, but it seems from what I can find online that he has shown a lot of variation, which is consistent with the philosophy I mentioned (as did you):  the personnel will dictate the scheme. 

     

    Re: recruiting, I think they are desperately recruiting any d-linemen they can get after whiffing on several over the past couple years.  We are lean and have been for some time, even for a 3-4.  I do not think that is by choice.

     

    Raider fan here... No we did not run the 4-3 when he was with Oakland.  I'm from the bay area (not tampa though I did cross the land to go to school at usf).  We ran the 3-4 when he was our coordinator.  I mean you literally just made that up.  I would be silent but you're spreading that as gospel.  I don't know about the Bengals so I'll give you that.  But the entire time he was with the Raiders, which was very short, we ran the 3-4.  We ran it in the Super Bowl when the Bucs whipped us.  But yeah... that part of your statement is BS so I'll take the rest with a grain of salt.

     

     

    The Raiders were 4-3 under Bresnahan in 2011. I don't know about 2000 to 2003. But in 2011, on a snap-for-snap basis, Richard Seymour played right defensive tackle and Tommy Kelly played left defensive tackle. Lamarr Houston played left defensive end and initially Matt Shaughnessy played right defensive end but then gave way after a few games to Desmond Bryant, who moved from a sub player at right defensive tackle to a full time player at right defensive end. Kamerion Wimbley played as a blitzing strong-side linebacker. The percentages for all of these were greater than the percentages in which the Raiders defense was in a 30 front. Defensive line versus linebacker snap totals for the season were entirely consistent with a 4-3 defense (4110 defensive line snaps, 2972 linebacker snaps).

     

    I'm not trying to pick any fights but in this argument you do seem to be very much a stickler for details and if you're going to be a stickler for details then you are open for others to correct your own incorrect details.

    • Upvote 2
  11. The quarterbacks last year were probably throwing with only 35% accuracy to the wide receivers, if that. Their overall completion percentage was 46.5% but that includes throws to the tight ends and backs which tend to be shorter and easier. The Bulls had 78 catches by tight ends and backs, 88 catches by wide receivers. Like I said I wouldn't be shocked at all if only 30-35% of passes to the wide receivers were catchable.

     

    It's actually pretty shocking that Andre Davis was able to do what he did given the awful quarterbacking. But if he wants to improve on his 49 catches for 735 yards and 2 TDs then he will need some help from the quarterbacks.

  12. The guy is going to blow up as a recruit.

     

    I can't be the only one though that looks at him and really drools over his potential as a defensive end rather than receiver. I don't know about defensive back, I'm sure he can play that too...but I like him rushing the passer. Probably some kind of combo player like Dion Jordan.

     

    This is why he's being downgraded on questions over his position. I said this a year ago (almost to the day). You watch his tape and even though he's a sick athlete you're more intrigued about him moving to the defensive side of the ball than you are at wide receiver.

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