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Posted

Bottom Line: 2 BE teams go to the BCS we go to Houston if only 1 goes we go to B'Ham.

If Louisville loses today to Pitt book your tickets to B'ham (we will only get 1 BCS team).

IF WVU beats Rutgers next week we then only have 1 BCS team (We go to Birmingham).

If Rutgers beats WVU, and wins the Big East will Louisville get in as the #2 Big East BCS team. (Thats the big question)

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Posted

I think we are going to B-Ham regardless what happens now... Cincy goes to texas...  

Posted

Not quite...

Bottom Line: 2 BE teams go to the BCS we go to Houston if only 1 goes we go to B'Ham.

Not necessarily.  The Texas Bowl could select between USF and Cincinnati -- assuming that the Gator Bowl selects West Virginia.

If Louisville loses today to Pitt book your tickets to B'ham (we will only get 1 BCS team).

No.  Actually, quite the opposite.  If Pitt wins, USF could be left out of a Big East Bowl... and you could have to book your tickets to Detroit.

Here's why.  Currently, there are five teams with winning records (7-5 or better) in the Big East.  There are also five bowl slots available.  NCAA rules say that a bowl must take a conference team that is 7-5 or better before a 6-6 team.

Now, if Pitt loses - they are 6-6 and USF will be going to either Birmingham, Houston, or Toronto for sure.  If Pitt wins, then there will be six teams at 7-5 or better, since the only bowl where records count is the BCS slot - all other bowls could select the other teams, and leave USF without a Big East bowl.

So, root for Louisville.

IF WVU beats Rutgers next week we then only have 1 BCS team (We go to Birmingham).

Probably.  I don't see how a 2-loss Big East team (WVU or RU) could make a claim over a 2-loss LSU or a 2-loss Florida (if Arkansas wins next week).  LSU is the best 2-loss team right now.

If Rutgers beats WVU, and wins the Big East will Louisville get in as the #2 Big East BCS team. (Thats the big question)

Maybe.  Louisville was #9 in the BCS entering the weekend.  Arkansas and WVU ahead of them already lost.  LSU could jump over them.  And U of L could jump over the USC/ND loser.  U of L will be a 1-loss team ranked in the top 6 or 7 of the BCS.  The only question is whether LSU or Florida (if they lose to Arknasas) is a better attraction than the Cardinals.


There. Clear as mud.

Don't book any tickets you can't change or cancel.  Yet.


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Posted

One BCS team now for sure.

Cincy will go to Toronto. Texas will get either WVU, Louisville, or Rutgers.

We are pretty much assured of Birmingham at this point.

Posted
One BCS team now for sure.

Cincy will go to Toronto. Texas will get either WVU, Louisville, or Rutgers.

We are pretty much assured of Birmingham at this point.

Not necessarily.  Rutgers and Louisville win out, then U of L would be #5 or 6 and not the Big East Champion.

If Florida wins... would a 2-loss LSU be preferable to a 1-loss U of L ?

If Arkansas wins... would a 2-loss Florida be preferable to a 1-loss U of L ?

It all depends on who the Rose Bowl would like to see...


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Posted

Good point Jim. I will keep fingers crossed all next week, but the way things are looking at this moment the 4 at large teams are going to be:

Michigan

Boise State

LSU

Notre Dame

LSU will certainly travel and I think that is what gets them in, deserving, or not.


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Posted

How come wisconsin at 1 loss get no consideration for bcs?  I would think they too could sneak in?


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Posted
No.  Actually, quite the opposite.  If Pitt wins, USF could be left out of a Big East Bowl... and you could have to book your tickets to Detroit.

Here's why.  Currently, there are five teams with winning records (7-5 or better) in the Big East.  There are also five bowl slots available.  [highlight]NCAA rules say that a bowl must take a conference team that is 7-5 or better before a 6-6 team.[/highlight]

Now, if Pitt loses - they are 6-6 and USF will be going to either Birmingham, Houston, or Toronto for sure.  If Pitt wins, then there will be six teams at 7-5 or better, since the only bowl where records count is the BCS slot - all other bowls could select the other teams, and leave USF without a Big East bowl.

So, root for Louisville.

What about 8-4 (USF) over 7-5 (Cincinnati and possibly Pitt). You're saying that if Pitt wins, they could skip an USF for TWO teams with worse records.


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Posted

If Michigan and Ohio st have rematch why does wisc. not go to Rose Bowl?

Posted
How come wisconsin at 1 loss get no consideration for bcs?  I would think they too could sneak in?

1. BCS rules say one conference can only get 2 BCS bids. Ohio State & Michigan would be the Big Ten representatives.

2. Wisconsin already accepted a bid to the Capital One Bowl.


No.  Actually, quite the opposite.  If Pitt wins, USF could be left out of a Big East Bowl... and you could have to book your tickets to Detroit.

Here's why.  Currently, there are five teams with winning records (7-5 or better) in the Big East.  There are also five bowl slots available.  [highlight]NCAA rules say that a bowl must take a conference team that is 7-5 or better before a 6-6 team.[/highlight]

Now, if Pitt loses - they are 6-6 and USF will be going to either Birmingham, Houston, or Toronto for sure.  If Pitt wins, then there will be six teams at 7-5 or better, since the only bowl where records count is the BCS slot - all other bowls could select the other teams, and leave USF without a Big East bowl.

So, root for Louisville.

What about 8-4 (USF) over 7-5 (Cincinnati and possibly Pitt). You're saying that if Pitt wins, they could skip an USF for TWO teams with worse records.

Yes. That is exactly what could happen.

Although Down by 20 points with 21:00 left in the game... I don't think it's gonna be a big problem.

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