Jumping the gun??

[BullGrad95]

According to several here, that is enough cause for concern and poses an imminent threat to the bay area.

[Guest S.  Bien]

Wilma has really slowed down. Saturday afternoon it will still be just off the coast of the Yucitan.  Bummer.

Hey KL.  I have a close family member that's in the Navy, works in Jaxs and that's how I find out, and get information.

The Naval information is as accurate as it comes because they need to know how to steer their fleets.   The use these models that have actually pinpointed nearly exact landings for something like 5 hurricanes this year.  One wrong move and it's a $50billion tax payer mistake.

As I mentioned earlier there assessment all along has been this is a weak storm, and is simply waiting for something to knock it down.  Once it hits the Yucatan expect to slow down, and become highly disorganized.

[Guest FreaKnight!]

Bien, you wrote this at 10:45 this AM:

Re: Jumping the gun??

« Reply #10 on: Today at 10:47am »  Quote  Modify  Remove  

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"I'd almost bet that this storm's eye won't touch mainland FL.

All the reputatable, none commercialized, sensationalist, romancing the storm forecast model sites have this thing not coming any further north than Marco Island AT BEST!

This storm is tiny, it makes Charley look like a giant.  If these TV whores would stop romancing the storm to grab air waves everytime they hit the TV they would tell people that the Navy and other top flight recon see this storm doing more than grazing the Yucatan.  That's important because the eye wall is something paltry like only 1-2 miles wide!  Some are 25!   Hurricane Storm winds only extend 15-20 miles outside of the wall now!!!!   So basically, some believe that once it comes off the Yucatan it could really be so weak and disorganized that once the western front hits it in the Gulf it will just whisk it away far south of us.

So far that's sounding and looking more logical by the minute.  However, if you listen to the news the **** sensationalism on the weather channel and with other reporters is almost jaw dropping.  They always lead in with the barometeric pressure setting an all-time low at 890.  However, they forget to mention that was over water, and that the eye and hurricane force winds extend out so small that some have seen some top notch tornado's with a winder swath of destruction. "

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The NOAA advisory that came out at 8AM EST stated that the wind field had grown so that hurricane force winds were out 90 miles from the eye, and tropical storm force winds were over 200 miles from the eye.

It's common for a hurricane's windfield to expand as the eye wall goes through its replacement cycle.

I'm sure that NOAA's information and the Navy's information is similar, but your info was 12 hours old, and we all know a LOT can change in 12 hours in a hurricane.

Here is the advisory NOAA put out at 8AM this morning:

Hurricane WILMA

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ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN

HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  20A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

7 AM CDT THU OCT 20 2005

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA CONTINUES TOWARD THE YUCATAN

PENSINSULA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO PUNTA ALLEN ON

THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SWAN ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE

NORTHERN AND WESTERN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN

FELIPE TO CELESTUN.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE

YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO PUNTA GRUESA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF PUNTA ALLEN

TO CHETUMAL MEXICO...AND FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO

SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA

HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF

YOUTH.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE

PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE

ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE

HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD

CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED

WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO

COMPLETION.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE

POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR

LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.2 WEST OR ABOUT  175 MILES...

285 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...12 KM/HR. A

TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...230

KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON

THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING

THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  90 MILES...150 KM...

FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP

TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AN AIR FORCE

RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 910 MB...26.87 INCHES.

IF THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7-10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE

EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF

10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN

PENINSULA...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 25 INCHES PARTICULARLY IN

MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS CUBA THROUGH FRIDAY.  ADDITIONAL

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO

8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SWAN

ISLAND...AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF HONDURAS THROUGH TODAY.

REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...18.3 N... 85.2 W.  MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145

MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 910 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL

HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

$$

NNNN

[RHBullsFan]

Would have been nice if they could of waited until this morning to make a decision. Me thinks the game would still be on.

[Guest we-blew-it]

USF/BE whoever made the decision to cancel the game blew it.

Miami is playing an NFL game tonight and they are in the "cone of death"

[Bobcat99]

There's no reason they couldn't have waited until last night to make the decision. It's not like we have hundreds of RVs that would already be sitting in the parking lot, tailgating... or anything.

Augh. I'm sick of uninformed people jumping to conclusions. People need to grow a pair and wait until more info is available before going off and ruining things.

[smazza]

the sky is falling

[Bishop of Bulltown]

it's the media hype that ruined football this weekend

[bullsmania]

Don't forget, the city uses RayJay for storms.  Also, don't forget that Charlie was supposed to hit us last year and then all of a sudden changed course in the 11th hour.  As unpredictable as this storm is, depending on jet streams and pressures, I think this was the right call.  

Although, the new date does suck since I cannot attend on 12/3.

[79 Bull]

Wilma is moving so slow it may not reach Tampa until December 3rd.