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Wilma: Track is shifting (slowly) NORTH


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It's now forecast to come ashore around Ft. Myers...

Also, consider this from the National Hurricane Center:

ONCE WILMA ENTERS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE AS IDEAL AS THEY ARE NOW AND SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT WILMA WILL STILL BE A FORMIDABLE HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES FLORIDA.  AFTER THAT...AS WILMA INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE UPPER-LOW...THE WIND FIELD OF WILMA IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND CONSIDERABLY...AND EVEN GLOBAL MODELS ARE SHOWING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITH THE SYSTEM AT 5 DAYS.

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Guest S.  Bien

Not that there is any solace in this but the storm is expected to experience some major weakening in Thursday, and Friday, and the western front could drop it down to a weak cat 2 by land fall- at worst 110MPH.  

Also, the Navy website still has it closer to the Keys, lower Everglades then Naples.  That's usually right on target, and I find most of the weatherchannel stuff try to forecast expectations that are a bit more vague, probably so people don't get too comfortable.

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Not that there is any solace in this but the storm is expected to experience some major weakening in Thursday, and Friday, and the western front could drop it down to a weak cat 2 by land fall- at worst 110MPH.  

Also, the Navy website still has it closer to the Keys, lower Everglades then Naples.  That's usually right on target, and I find most of the weatherchannel stuff try to forecast expectations that are a bit more vague, probably so people don't get too comfortable.

Do you have a link or URL -- I can't find anything on Wilma at www.navy.mil ... ??

My information comes from the National Hurricane Center - part of the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration... but you're right, the Weather Channel tends to be purposefully vague in their predictions -- primarily because of Charley last year.

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