Point Spread for USF vs Uconn

[raptorcj]

I mean, even if we COULD do it, that's not CCS's style. If we're up by 3TDs in the second half, the B-team will come out & let a couple of scores happen. But nothing from the previous 3 games tells me we'll be up by 3 TDs in the 3rd.

[MikeG]

38 minutes ago, NewEnglandBull said:

I think it is more than likely Randy Edsall...

or his players? yikes!

[raptorcj]

1 hour ago, Gismo said:

I'd take Uconn.

Yeah, either someone thinks we're sleeping (as if we'd choose to come alive at UConn), or they're just looking at the record. They don't understand the CCS philosophy on winning games.

[Roaming Bull]

I guess people are hoping we come out like

[George_Bullnard_Shaw]

12 hours ago, Roaming Bull said:

I guess people are hoping we come out like

Except we have his step or is it half-brother coaching us.

[Bull Dozer]

UCONN is a bad, bad, bad, bad, bad football team.   If we come out and click on both sides of the ball for 4 quarters we should cover that spread.   From what I've seen so far this season from the team and coaches I wouldn't count on that happening.  I think we probably win by 14-17.  

[zarnozdabull]

Can't believe the spread is only -32 against a 1-5 UCONN team.

No respect.

[El_Toro_86]

UConn is giving up around 55 points a game and about 650 yards offense.  

Who thinks we match or exceed either of these stats?

I’m gonna go out on a limb and say no on either.

[JTrue]

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/

Can USF put up the money we already have pledged for the IPF?

[MikeG]

1 hour ago, zarnozdabull said:

Can't believe the spread is only -32 against a 1-5 UCONN team.

No respect.

You may know this but for those unfamiliar....

spreads are not about respect- they are about getting people to bet money on teams. More action means more money for the sports book. The sports book balances it out so that they earn money no matter what-- and establish an initial line to see where the betting takes it, adjusting along the way to make sure the have the bets are not lopsided and cause them a loss. Their is zero bias in this-- it is a zero sum game where the fees you pay for any bet are what they earn. Some games are so lopsided that they won't even put up a point spread or in the case of smaller school not offer one because there aren't enough people betting on the teams to make it worth the time to coordinate 9we face that quite often when we were still 1-AA).

If a ton of people take the favorite-  USF in this case- the line moves further out so the team has to win by even more points to cover and also to entice people to bet on the underdog. Bets on the underdog move the line the other direction. So even with the line starting at -30 points, enough people are betting on USF to move the line further out to -32. Whatever the line is when you make the bet is locked in-- so those folks who put money on USF at -30 got a better deal than anyone betting at the -32 line.

Even at -30 points-- a huge line for most teams-- that is a ton of respect given by bettors in spite of the lack of USF covering the line for the most part recently. People betting on UConn +30 are no less smart than the ones betting USF -30 - because USF might not cover that very large spread-- a 4+ touchdown win.

Edited October 15, 2018 by MikeG