1st things first. Ray Jay is clearly cursed.
I am in the lose close games camp. The law of averages suggests that USF will win be able to win (and not fall apart) in these close games eventually. Its like a trend. Look at USF in 2010 (coincidentally Skips first year). That team won those close games and compiled a serviceable 8-5 record. 2011, the team was losing those games (5-7). Then the coaching scheme and lack of talent in recruiting took over. 2012 (3-9). Enter Taggart in year zero, 2013, 2-10 and not competitive save for several games (this we have generally accepted as rock bottom, or in other words the bottom of the trend). Now USF is a little more competitive and making games interesting which they were never truly in last season. It would appear USF is trending up from the bottom, but (as many have harped) 3-9 or 4-8 is likely where this team is headed. However, based on this trend USF should be around a 6+ win team in 2015 based on the current curve. Once there, USF should be able to sustain winning despite our coaching schemes, merely based on the talent from recruiting (a la CJL coached teams).