USF Handles Florida, Postseason Talk Gets a Little Louder

[Mama_Bull]

9 minutes ago, Ionbull said:

Any idea what the direct impact is from the various outcomes that could occur from this series? 

Not really.

They only post the points for the direct impact game on that day.

However, you can get some idea from Boyd's World in its "RPI Needs Report".

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI Needs Report

This report lists the various scenarios for each team to finish higher than the team currently in the shown key RPI positions, those that correspond to the various seeding or at large thresholds, assuming that all other teams maintain their current winning percentage. It's highly speculative, since those RPI levels will move up or down, and the committee is highly unlikely to just take the top 8 in RPI for the national seeds, for example, but it can be useful as a rough guide. The report is updated daily around 8:30 AM CDT.

The levels listed here are thresholds, so anything above the threshold will also get the team to a given level. For example, if a team is listed as needing to win 2 home games and 3 road games to get to the top 8, they'll obviously also get there if they win 2 home games and 4 road games.

ROWP is the average remaining opponent's winning percentage, weighted by games against remaining.

 

South Florida

Remaining: 0 home, 7 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 17
ROWP: 0.626

Top 45:

No more wins needed.

Top 32:

0 home wins, 0 road wins

Top 16:

0 home wins, 3 road wins

Top 8:

0 home wins, 7 road wins

http://boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

 

Edited May 11, 2017 by Mama_Bull

[Ionbull]

Interesting enough if we lose out it seems to think we won't drop further than 45, which is nuts. And if we win out, top 8 is possible. I wonder if there are folks who's job it is to figure these scenarios out. 

[charsibb]

Man oh man, would a top eight finish be saweet!

 

[Mama_Bull]

58 minutes ago, charsibb said:

Man oh man, would a top eight finish be saweet!

 

"EIGHT FOR OMAHA
If the season ended today, here are the eight teams who would read the great writing and impressive photography that the Omaha World Herald offers everyday during the series.
– Oregon State
– Louisville
– North Carolina
– Texas Tech
– Florida
– TCU
– Stanford
– South Florida"

https://d1baseball.com/analysis/off-top-head-may-11th/

[Mama_Bull]

10 hours ago, Mama_Bull said:

There are very few games today.

USF #18 RPI can improve to #17 RPI, if Auburn beats LSU.

LSU RPI #16 would fall to RPI #21.

Direct Impact Games

 

		#13 Auburn (32-18, 14-10 SEC)
		#15 LSU (31-17, 15-9 SEC)

Win: 16 RPI Points

Loss: -44 RPI Points

 

http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2017/team-impact?team=LSU

 

LSU beat Auburn 4-0.

[JTrue]

1 hour ago, Mama_Bull said:

"EIGHT FOR OMAHA
If the season ended today, here are the eight teams who would read the great writing and impressive photography that the Omaha World Herald offers everyday during the series.
– Oregon State
– Louisville
– North Carolina
– Texas Tech
– Florida
– TCU
– Stanford
– South Florida"

https://d1baseball.com/analysis/off-top-head-may-11th/

As much as I like this scenario, it is entirely impossible if we end up in the Gainesville regional as another post on that site has us projected to.

Edited May 12, 2017 by JTrue

[Mama_Bull]

Direct impact for the first USF-UCONN game:

Direct Impact Games

3:00 P

		#23 South Florida (38-10, 12-6 American Athletic)
		Connecticut (26-20, 10-8 American Athletic)

 

Win: 30 RPI Points

Loss: -20 RPI Points

 

 

With a win: USF RPI #13

With a loss: USF RPI #20

 

http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2017/team-impact?team=South-Florida

 

[Mama_Bull]

With strong finish, USF baseball could host NCAA regional

• Joey Knight, Times Staff Writer

Friday, May 12, 2017 6:00am

 

.
"At the end of the day, if USF wins either the regular season or conference tournament championship for the American (Athletic Conference), then unless some of the other teams they're competing against just kind of go crazy, I think they would be a host," ESPN college baseball analyst Mike Rooney said.

"I think if they don't win either of those two championships, I think they will not host."..

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/bulls/with-strong-finish-usf-baseball-could-host-ncaa-regional/2323666