Buller64 Posted May 9, 2017 Group: Member Topic Count: 111 Content Count: 2,016 Reputation: 165 Days Won: 0 Joined: 11/25/2006 Share Posted May 9, 2017 At the moment USF is all alone in first place in the AAC. USF has eight remaining games all on the road with 6 of those games being conference games (at UConn and at UCF). This is where we find ouot how good this team can be. If they win the remaining two series that will be enough for them to win the conference title. Current standings SCHOOL CONF CPCT. OVERALL PCT. HOME AWAY NEUTRAL STREAK USF 12-6 0.667 37-10 0.787 UCF 11-7 0.611 33-15 0.688 Houston 11-7 0.611 30-17 0.638 UConn 10-8 0.556 25-20 0.556 Tulane 10-8 0.556 23-26 0.469 Cincinnati 8-10 0.444 24-23 0.511 Memphis 6-12 0.333 25-23 0.521 East Carolina 4-14 0.222 24-24 0.500 Remaining Series USF - UConn, UCF UCF - Cincinnati, USF Houston - Tulane, Cincinnati UConn - USF, East Carolina Tulane - Houston, Memphis Cincinnati - UCF, Houston Memphis - East Carolina, Tulane East Carolina - Memphis, UConn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Great 8 Posted May 9, 2017 Group: Member Topic Count: 69 Content Count: 3,802 Reputation: 372 Days Won: 3 Joined: 09/21/2009 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Houston appears to have the inside track, as far as opponent quality remaining. It'll be a nail biter to finish the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Apis Bull Posted May 9, 2017 Group: Member Topic Count: 1,586 Content Count: 23,185 Reputation: 2,332 Days Won: 65 Joined: 09/05/2002 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Just winning the two series wouldn't be enough if Houston sweeps both of theirs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ionbull Posted May 9, 2017 Group: Member Topic Count: 8 Content Count: 2,610 Reputation: 635 Days Won: 3 Joined: 12/17/2015 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Yeah it really stinks we had to lose the series' against Cincy and Tulane. C is right on our tails and we swept them! That last series in Orlando is going to be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mama_Bull Posted May 9, 2017 Group: Member Topic Count: 1,207 Content Count: 18,470 Reputation: 899 Days Won: 44 Joined: 10/14/2003 Share Posted May 9, 2017 2 hours ago, Apis Bull said: Just winning the two series wouldn't be enough if Houston sweeps both of theirs. Correct. But, if we won both, Houston would HAVE to sweep both, since we would have the tie breaker over them. Given the favorable odds, I would take four out of six on the road NOW without ever playing. Remaining Series with location of games: USF - @UConn, @UCF UCF - @Cincinnati vs USF Houston - @Tulane, vs Cincinnati UConn - vs USF, vs East Carolina Tulane - vs Houston, @Memphis Cincinnati - vs UCF, @Houston Memphis - @East Carolina, vs Tulane East Carolina - v Memphis, @UConn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Triple B Posted May 9, 2017 Group: Moderator Topic Count: 1,609 Content Count: 74,476 Reputation: 10,779 Days Won: 422 Joined: 11/25/2005 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Looking at current records and the way the conf tourney is set up, on paper, coming in 2nd or 3rd would get the easier bracket in the tournament, on paper, if played right now. I realize you want to win as much as you can for the NCAA resumé, but unless you get some kind of bling for winning the reg season conf title, it doesn't seem to be that bad not getting the #1 seed ..... of course, lot of ball to be played and if Cincy makes a little run, seeding probably won't really matter much because the top 6 teams may be all bunched together. One thing though, how does the home team thing work in tournament? Is higher seed always the home team? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mama_Bull Posted May 9, 2017 Group: Member Topic Count: 1,207 Content Count: 18,470 Reputation: 899 Days Won: 44 Joined: 10/14/2003 Share Posted May 9, 2017 (edited) 31 minutes ago, Triple B said: Looking at current records and the way the conf tourney is set up, on paper, coming in 2nd or 3rd would get the easier bracket in the tournament, on paper, if played right now. I realize you want to win as much as you can for the NCAA resumé, but unless you get some kind of bling for winning the reg season conf title, it doesn't seem to be that bad not getting the #1 seed ..... Every article I've read that discusses the possibility for USF to host a regional stresses the importance for USF to win the reguar AAC conference title. Apparently, that is a major factor in determining whether a team hosts: I posted this before from D1 Baseball chat yesterday: Aaron Fitt: USF’s hosting chances are getting stronger by the week — that sweep of ECU this weekend was a big boost, because now the Bulls are all alone atop the conference standings. I still really like the 6-1 mark vs. top 50 and 16-7 record against the top 100. You’d like to see the RPI come up a bit — Southeast teams don’t usually host with RPIs in the 20s, and the Bulls are currently 23rd. But those last two series are both on the road against good clubs (UConn and UCF), so those are RPI boosters. If the Bulls keep playing well in those weekends and win the AAC regular-season title, I like their chances. This is a new article: https://collegebaseballcentral.com/usf-finishes-series-sweep-ecu-8-road-games-remain-hosting-postseason-possibilities/15554/ Edited May 9, 2017 by Mama_Bull Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Triple B Posted May 9, 2017 Group: Moderator Topic Count: 1,609 Content Count: 74,476 Reputation: 10,779 Days Won: 422 Joined: 11/25/2005 Share Posted May 9, 2017 20 minutes ago, Mama_Bull said: Every article I've read that discusses the possibility for USF to host a regional stresses the importance for USF to win the reguar AAC conference title. Apparently, that is a major factor in determining whether a team hosts: I posted this before from D1 Baseball chat yesterday: Aaron Fitt: USF’s hosting chances are getting stronger by the week — that sweep of ECU this weekend was a big boost, because now the Bulls are all alone atop the conference standings. I still really like the 6-1 mark vs. top 50 and 16-7 record against the top 100. You’d like to see the RPI come up a bit — Southeast teams don’t usually host with RPIs in the 20s, and the Bulls are currently 23rd. But those last two series are both on the road against good clubs (UConn and UCF), so those are RPI boosters. If the Bulls keep playing well in those weekends and win the AAC regular-season title, I like their chances. This is a new article: https://collegebaseballcentral.com/usf-finishes-series-sweep-ecu-8-road-games-remain-hosting-postseason-possibilities/15554/ That's definitely a possible nice reward for winning the reg season title ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mama_Bull Posted May 9, 2017 Group: Member Topic Count: 1,207 Content Count: 18,470 Reputation: 899 Days Won: 44 Joined: 10/14/2003 Share Posted May 9, 2017 A couple of other mentions: Comment From Rob USF 37-10 do they still have potential to host with seriies Kendall Rogers: Rob — Still potential with a Top 23 RPI, especially if the Bulls can win the American regular season title. https://d1baseball.com/chats/d1baseballs-weekly-chat-2/ "...Also, while the American Athletic Conference is a very good baseball conference, it’s not a power conference, meaning that they’d almost surely have to win the league to bolster their case." Read more at: https://collegebaseballcentral.com/college-baseball-rpi-watch-list-southern-miss-nc-state-cal-state-fullerton/15543/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrue Posted May 9, 2017 Group: Member Topic Count: 152 Content Count: 19,395 Reputation: 6,097 Days Won: 233 Joined: 01/13/2011 Share Posted May 9, 2017 (edited) http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2017/projection New projection for us. Moved from the Gainesville regional to Auburn. Edited May 9, 2017 by JTrue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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