Baseball Standings AAC

[Buller64]

At the moment USF is all alone in first place in the AAC. USF has eight remaining games all on the road with 6 of those games being conference games (at UConn and at UCF). This is where we find ouot how good this team can be. If they win the remaining two series that will be enough for them to win the conference title.

Current standings

 

SCHOOL	CONF	CPCT.	OVERALL	PCT.	HOME	AWAY	NEUTRAL	STREAK
USF	12-6	0.667	37-10	0.787
UCF	11-7	0.611	33-15	0.688
Houston	11-7	0.611	30-17	0.638
UConn	10-8	0.556	25-20	0.556
Tulane	10-8	0.556	23-26	0.469
Cincinnati	8-10	0.444	24-23	0.511
Memphis	6-12	0.333	25-23	0.521
East Carolina	4-14	0.222	24-24	0.500

Remaining Series

USF - UConn, UCF

UCF - Cincinnati, USF

Houston - Tulane, Cincinnati

UConn - USF, East Carolina

Tulane - Houston, Memphis

Cincinnati - UCF, Houston

Memphis - East Carolina, Tulane

East Carolina - Memphis, UConn

 

[The Great 8]

Houston appears to have the inside track, as far as opponent quality remaining. It'll be a nail biter to finish the season.

[Apis Bull]

Just winning the two series wouldn't be enough if Houston sweeps both of theirs.

[Ionbull]

Yeah it really stinks we had to lose the series' against Cincy and Tulane. C is right on our tails and we swept them! That last series in Orlando is going to be epic. 

[Mama_Bull]

2 hours ago, Apis Bull said:

Just winning the two series wouldn't be enough if Houston sweeps both of theirs.

Correct.

But, if we won both, Houston would HAVE to sweep both, since we would have the tie breaker over them.

Given the favorable odds, I would take four out of six on the road NOW without ever playing.

Remaining Series with location of games:

USF - @UConn, @UCF

UCF - @Cincinnati  vs USF

Houston - @Tulane,  vs Cincinnati

UConn - vs USF,  vs East Carolina

Tulane - vs Houston, @Memphis

Cincinnati - vs UCF,  @Houston

Memphis - @East Carolina, vs Tulane

East Carolina - v Memphis, @UConn

 

 

 

[Triple B]

Looking at current records and the way the conf tourney is set up, on paper, coming in 2nd or 3rd would get the easier bracket in the tournament, on paper, if played right now. I realize you want to win as much as you can for the NCAA resumé, but unless you get some kind of bling for winning the reg season conf title, it doesn't seem to be that bad not getting the #1 seed ..... of course, lot of ball to be played and if Cincy makes a little run, seeding probably won't really matter much because the top 6 teams may be all bunched together.

One thing though, how does the home team thing work in tournament? Is higher seed always the home team?

 

[Mama_Bull]

31 minutes ago, Triple B said:

Looking at current records and the way the conf tourney is set up, on paper, coming in 2nd or 3rd would get the easier bracket in the tournament, on paper, if played right now. I realize you want to win as much as you can for the NCAA resumé, but unless you get some kind of bling for winning the reg season conf title, it doesn't seem to be that bad not getting the #1 seed .....

Every article I've read that discusses the possibility for USF  to host a regional stresses the importance for USF to win the reguar AAC conference title. Apparently, that is a major factor in determining whether a team hosts:

I posted this before from D1 Baseball chat yesterday:

Aaron Fitt:  USF’s hosting chances are getting stronger by the week — that sweep of ECU this weekend was a big boost, because now the Bulls are all alone atop the conference standings. I still really like the 6-1 mark vs. top 50 and 16-7 record against the top 100. You’d like to see the RPI come up a bit — Southeast teams don’t usually host with RPIs in the 20s, and the Bulls are currently 23rd. But those last two series are both on the road against good clubs (UConn and UCF), so those are RPI boosters. If the Bulls keep playing well in those weekends and win the AAC regular-season title, I like their chances.   This is a new article:

https://collegebaseballcentral.com/usf-finishes-series-sweep-ecu-8-road-games-remain-hosting-postseason-possibilities/15554/

Edited May 9, 2017 by Mama_Bull

[Triple B]

20 minutes ago, Mama_Bull said:

Every article I've read that discusses the possibility for USF  to host a regional stresses the importance for USF to win the reguar AAC conference title. Apparently, that is a major factor in determining whether a team hosts:

I posted this before from D1 Baseball chat yesterday:

Aaron Fitt:  USF’s hosting chances are getting stronger by the week — that sweep of ECU this weekend was a big boost, because now the Bulls are all alone atop the conference standings. I still really like the 6-1 mark vs. top 50 and 16-7 record against the top 100. You’d like to see the RPI come up a bit — Southeast teams don’t usually host with RPIs in the 20s, and the Bulls are currently 23rd. But those last two series are both on the road against good clubs (UConn and UCF), so those are RPI boosters. If the Bulls keep playing well in those weekends and win the AAC regular-season title, I like their chances.   This is a new article:

https://collegebaseballcentral.com/usf-finishes-series-sweep-ecu-8-road-games-remain-hosting-postseason-possibilities/15554/

That's definitely a possible nice reward for winning the reg season title ...

[Mama_Bull]

A couple of other mentions:

Comment From Rob  USF 37-10 do they still have potential to host with seriies

Kendall Rogers:  Rob — Still potential with a Top 23 RPI, especially if the Bulls can win the American regular season title.   https://d1baseball.com/chats/d1baseballs-weekly-chat-2/   "...Also, while the American Athletic Conference is a very good baseball conference, it’s not a power conference, meaning that they’d almost surely have to win the league to bolster their case."    Read more at: https://collegebaseballcentral.com/college-baseball-rpi-watch-list-southern-miss-nc-state-cal-state-fullerton/15543/

[JTrue]

http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2017/projection

New projection for us. Moved from the Gainesville regional to Auburn.

Edited May 9, 2017 by JTrue