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BullyPulpit

USF v. UCONN - WBB - 7pm 1/10/17

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Will we be outmatched? Most definitely, but tonight's game will give us a very good idea of what type of chance we have with this year's team. Last season there was too much "Courtney watching" and this year's team is moving the ball much better out of necessity. If you haven't watched a game yet, tonight would be a good one to watch. CBSSN unfortunately, but at least someone decided to broadcast it. Oh, and UCONN is trying to tie its own record of 90 consecutive wins. Unreal. 

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Realistically, USF might be able to keep the scoring margin to about 20 points.

Anything better than that, would certainly improve our ranking.

We need to limit turnovers and out rebound them. That is doable.

It will still be a steep uphill climb to keep up with their scoring.

It is conceivable, we could win, but our chances are less than 5%.

 

 

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I think our chances are better then that. This team is better at passing the ball around and you can't shut us down by focusing in on just one shooter like they did on Courtney. This team is also better at fighting for rebounds. I think we'll be ok. Go Bulls! :GoBulls:

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5 minutes ago, Mama_Bull said:

Realistically, USF might be able to keep the scoring margin to about 20 points.

Anything better than that, would certainly improve our ranking.

We need to limit turnovers and out rebound them. That is doable.

It will still be a steep uphill climb to keep up with their scoring.

It is conceivable, we could win, but our chances are less than 5%.

 

 

I hope we find some unique ways to get Laksa open for good looks at 3's. That is really our only chance of keeping it under 20. I think you are right that we can out rebound them, but I don't think we will be able to limit the turnovers quite enough. We have to get contributions from Pujol and Henshaw as well. It is crazy that a "good" game for us would be to keep it within 20. 

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2 minutes ago, Azmodi said:

I think our chances are better then that. This team is better at passing the ball around and you can't shut us down by focusing in on just one shooter like they did on Courtney. This team is also better at fighting for rebounds. I think we'll be ok. Go Bulls! :GoBulls:

Laksa has to be on fire with her 3 pointer like she was against Tulsa,Jesperson has to play how she has been, and Pujol has to step up. She is probably our best option to create her own shot that isn't a 3 since she can drive to the basket and draw fouls or make the layup. I think we just need our freshmen to step up and help in he rebounding game, not necessarily scoring even though that would help. Uconn lost arguably their 3 best players to the draft so I think we have a better shot at winning this year.

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The most common thing that stops people from success is that they aren't prepared for success when it comes. These Ladies are ready. LETS DO THIS!!! LETS GO BULLS!!! :GoBulls:

 

This is me drinking the Kool-Aid. :icon_drink:

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8 minutes ago, Azmodi said:

I think our chances are better then that. This team is better at passing the ball around and you can't shut us down by focusing in on just one shooter like they did on Courtney. This team is also better at fighting for rebounds. I think we'll be ok. Go Bulls! :GoBulls:

Laura won't be playing against them and I understand that she will be out the rest of the year. She has played in nine games off the bench. Perhaps, CJF thinks she might get a medical red shirt.

Massey gives us a 1% chance to win and a predicted score of UCONN 84 USF 53. That's a 31 point margin. 

By comparison, he gives us a 46% chance at home against Louisville and a final score UL 71 USF 69. 

http://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=7278&s=292155

 

 

 

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10 minutes ago, Mama_Bull said:

Laura won't be playing against them and I understand that she will be out the rest of the year. She has played in nine games off the bench. Perhaps, CJF thinks she might get a medical red shirt.

Massey gives us a 1% chance to win and a predicted score of UCONN 84 USF 53. That's a 31 point margin. 

By comparison, he gives us a 46% chance at home against Louisville and a final score UL 71 USF 69. 

http://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=7278&s=292155

 

 

 

Looking at Massey's predictions for the rest of the season I think we are most likely looking at a 5 loss regular season. I see us dropping both versus UCONN, splitting between UofL and @Temple, and then losing one other along the way that we probably shouldn't. I think 24-5 in the regular season would definitely get us in to the Big Dance, especially considering we would be 24-3 against teams not named UCONN. 

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I'd like to let out that Mr. Massy has been known to be waaaaayyyyy off at the beginning of the year and not so close in the middle of the year. He should stick to end of year statistics.

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13 minutes ago, Azmodi said:

I'd like to let out that Mr. Massy has been known to be waaaaayyyyy off at the beginning of the year and not so close in the middle of the year. He should stick to end of year statistics.

These are the scoring margins @UCONN, so far this season:

#2 Baylor 11 points

#13 Ohio State 19 points

#87 Dayton 33 points

#98 Chatanooga 37 points

#17 DePaul 45 points

# 118 ECU 45 points

So, keeping the margin to under 20 points, puts us in good company.

I'm sure the USF WBB players are looking for a win, rather than a moral victory.

However, I wouldn't BET that we can keep the scoring margin under 20 points. Of course I would LOVE to see us pull the upset.

I still remember the time when USF tied them there in regulation when they had another unbelievable streak. Too bad we lost that game in OT. 

 

 

 

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Its going to take everyone bringing their A+ game to pull off the upset. UCONN will be eyeing Laksa all night so the other guards will have to be knocking down shots to force UCONN to guard Laksa 1-1 instead of double or triple teaming her. We must also keep the turnovers down below 5 and knock down free throws if we are going to have any chance of the upset

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I'm encouraged that Henshaw is going to give us the inside game that we've been sorely missing.  UConn always had the 5s that ate our lunch down low.

Like was previously mentioned, it is nice to be able to score in different ways.

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20 minutes ago, Ricky the Bull said:

I'm encouraged that Henshaw is going to give us the inside game that we've been sorely missing.  UConn always had the 5s that ate our lunch down low.

Like was previously mentioned, it is nice to be able to score in different ways.

It will be interesting to see if CJF, at some point in the game, puts Jazz Bond on her former teammate, freshman sensation, PG Crystal Dangerfield. Jazz is 6'4" and Crystal is barely 5'6". They have played together since they were seven. If anybody knows Crystal's game and tendencies, it would be Jazz. That would also give us some added size and another 3-point shooter.

Edited by Mama_Bull
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8 minutes ago, Mama_Bull said:

It will be interesting to see if CJF, at some point in the game, puts Jazz Bond on her former teammate, freshman sensation, PG Crystal Dangerfield. Jazz is 6'4" and Crystal is barely 5'6". They have played together since they were seven. If anybody knows Crystal's game and tendencies, it would be Jazz. That would also give us some added size and another 3-point shooter.

I can't imagine that Bond would have the ability to stay in front of Dangerfield. 

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..And with UConn and USF currently tied atop the AAC standings, Laksa says there’s more parity between the two squads coming into Tuesday’s game than one might expect.

“We lost a couple players, they lost a couple players,” Laksa said. “They started really well this season, and surprisingly, probably, we have too.”

After winning four national titles in a row, UConn lost its “Big Three” after Breanna Stewart, Moriah Jefferson and Morgan Tuck graduated last year and went as the first three picks, respectively, in the 2016 WNBA draft. As for USF, the program graduated its own notable senior trio of Courtney Williams, Alisia Jenkins and Shalethia Stringfield.

“Just hearing the fact that we lost our three big starters and all the questions that we’ve been asked about it, it just fires us up and makes us want to prove ourselves,” Laksa said. “We’re a new team and it’s all about proving that we can play without Courtney Williams and the rest.”

According to Laksa, the Bulls are out to prove more than just that on Tuesday against UConn.

“We want to prove that we’re a team that can play close and even win against them,” she said.

“The mentality that is on our team is that we can play anyone, anytime. I don’t think UConn is unbeatable."

Read more at: http://www.excellesports.com/news/usf-uconn-kitija-laksa-ncaa/

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