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aroth

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aroth last won the day on March 4 2014

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About aroth

  • Birthday 02/22/1984

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  1. It’s hard not to laugh at the B12 supporters wishing death on the ACC. Are they really so dense that they think the P2 are done after destroying the ACC? If the ACC folds or gets relegated there will be the P2, the B12 alone in the middle cutting into P2 profits, and the G5. It’s not that hard to identify the next casualty. Adding a few ACC leftovers isn’t going to save them.
  2. The gatekeeper remains the GOR until a court says it isn’t. If a court affirms the GOR it’s unlikely many teams can afford to leave, so the ACC will survive in some form. Sure FSU, Clemson, UNC, whoever else has invites waiting to the B1G/SEC can afford to pay a hefty negotiated buyout because it will still be profitable for them in the end. Schools trying to negotiate a settlement to get to the B12 are going to have a much harder time justifying it because the pot of gold at the end of their rainbow is much smaller. Especially since we have no idea what the future of college football is, and the B12 would be the last road block living on borrowed time to a true P2. As an aside, I think FSU’s motion to dismiss has merit, and their case ends up in FL state court. If that happens the ACC will likely be forced to settle to maintain the GOR or risk a court giving the death blow to the ACC. TLDR: Still waiting on the courts to determine GOR validity.
  3. Gotta love that Greg Swaim slings everything at the wall and claims victory when something sticks. Just this year he has predicted TAMU will leave the SEC for the B1G and that the SEC was targeting Kansas State, Ok. St., and Texas Tech amongst a few other more logical choices. If he really has inside “sources” in any conference they’ve made a game out of feeding him bad information and watching him spread it.
  4. Personally, I think as more schools file suit the ACC should start negotiating reduced exit fees with schools that likely have spots in the P2. The absolute worst case scenario for the ACC is having a judge determine the GOR is unenforceable. If that happens it’s going to be tough to hold it together. The ACC would get nothing from the schools going to the P2, and some schools will bolt for the B12 for stability if there’s no penalty. If there’s still a question of the enforceability of the GOR it will likely keep schools that may go to the B12 from challenging it as the reward doesn’t outweigh the penalty.
  5. Admittedly, I would love for USF to get an invite to either the ACC or B12 for obvious reasons (wouldn’t we all?). I don’t think either really has a huge advantage over the other, and I’m probably bias growing up on the east coast. I remember seeing team TV ratings comparing the ACC/B12/PAC from last year, and they were pretty close to each other if you exclude FSU and UW/UO. My belief is they need each other to survive as the mid-tier conferences between the P2 and the G5. I hope we get an invite and they work cooperatively to distance themselves from the G5.
  6. I personally rank the ACC leftovers above the B12 on the field, and it’s close on TV viewership as well. That being said, it’s really splitting hairs and the P2 will eventually exclude both.
  7. If the B12 poaches the ACC it will start the countdown on their own demise. The B1G and SEC’s end game isn’t a triumvirate with them and the B12. Without any other middle conferences to be grouped with it’s just a matter of time until the B12 joins the have nots.
  8. Does this plan encourage more realignment, or does it bring some stability?
  9. This is from memory, but I think the 99 year agreement cost OU and Texas about $50m each. I think that was negotiated from the original penalty of $80m each. It makes sense if a school is going to the B1G or SEC, but not so much to the ACC. However, Utah didn’t agree to the deal when they joined. It seems like Utah really didn’t want to join, but had no other option.
  10. I always thought Judy’s focus on academics was to the detriment of athletics, but it’s looking like she proved me wrong. Academically and geographically we’re one of the better fits on that list for the ACC. AAU status and all the work to raise the standards to achieve it are looking good for making us an expansion candidate. If we’re not the most attractive on that list we’re not far behind any of them. Football showing signs of life and basketball blowing expectations out of the water this year certainly don’t hurt either.
  11. Even if the B1G and SEC broke off and made tons of money the rest of college football would be more entertaining without them. They should take their ball and go.
  12. What’s a “media legal expert,” and why would someone in that position know anymore about the FSU/ACC court proceedings and future hypothetical contract negotiations than the rest of us? I’m starting to think some of these guys don’t really have inside information and are just making up facts as they go.
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