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bullsbucsfan426

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Everything posted by bullsbucsfan426

  1. It appears this door has been shut:
  2. In fairness we also had 2 sacks, 10 TFLs, and the team forced 3 fumbles (recovering 2). Those can't be attributed necessarily to bad QB play, we just dominated Syracuse.
  3. VCU on a 10-0 run, up by 7. Let's see if they close it out. They look a lot like us. Great ball movement, great shooting. They close out on rebounds really well. Going to have to be extremely active on defense and forcing turnovers. Villanova hasn't pushed them on turnovers like we try to do with teams-they seem to want to force more bad shots than anything else.
  4. Analytics has its place. We are a good team that still has flaws. It's rare to have a team that doesn't. They've been covered over by the fact that we win and we know what we're doing at the end of games. I think the biggest difference between this year and last year is that we know how to close games out. I'm sure, if you all recall, how many times we would be pulling our hair out with 10 minutes left in a game during the CBG era. USF is ahead or tied. It almost always ended up being a choke job. I feel like the only time we didn't choke was when the team felt like it had a clear goal on the line (i.e. beating UCF). These days we're not particularly concerned with 10 minutes on the clock-we'll either close this game out, or the opponent will suddenly become incapable of shooting due to excellent defense and the offense finds open gaps where they weren't before. Do keep in mind that for most the year we were still working our way up to beating teams ranked in the 100s and 200s in the net with ease. We're doing that NOW, for sure, but we weren't doing it in January. The team to its credit has consistently gotten 2-3% better every game, r we wouldn't be doing what we're doing now, but it takes work.
  5. Definitely need to raise the rate for sure. I would at least boost his pay to $1.5M, make the bonuses a bit bigger (say double them as they're fairly small), and raise the buyout to $3 million. A bigger school will pay it and that pays for our next coach. With that said CAAR will look for the right job. I think he would want to target a place like UGA where he's coached before and Mike White will be on the hot seat going into next year. Leonard Hamilton is about to retire at FSU, but that's historically been a fairly dead-end job with poor facilities and recruiting. But for the ones saying we should triple his pay...get out of here. Even if we sell out every game next season we're looking at $3-4 million in revenue at most not factoring in any expenses. The licensing agreement with Adidas helps some too but how much I'm not sure. You still have to pay full cost of attendance for the players and salaries for assistants and managers. If we breakeven on MBB after all that we're doing well. The TV revenue is pretty much getting paid to the football coaching staff and I'm hopeful there will be way more ticket sales for FB next year as there's way more marginal revenue opportunities there. I don't think we're paying anything more than we're already paying on fixed costs for football currently.
  6. I had told my dad it was a sellout there and rushed him there. He was asking me for a while where everyone else was but he eventually got his answer. It was probably the weather and weeknight road traffic.
  7. I got 4 2nd level tickets on TM plus parking for $97. Mind you, I bought them a week ago.
  8. Okay, typo, 12 teams, but even so. Those 20 are going to generally be ranked higher in the NET because of the way things are set up.
  9. It's pretty much tournament or bust at this point. In past years the NIT would have been a viable consolation goal, but with the P5+BE mucking things up to benefit them, you're going to have teams ranked in the 60s and 70s in the NET who will be on the NIT bubble since the field has effectively shrunk by 20 teams. I'm sure CAAR isn't overpressuring the players, they have so much self-confidence and belief that they can and will win. I just don't want them to go from being on the verge of dancing to potentially not going anywhere because of the early season gelling issues. That's why winning the conference tourney is so important. At that point the question is "where are we seeded" not "are we going".
  10. Did we even bring that many for FSU in 2009? UF let us bring a ton in 2022 and the turnout was quite solid. If we manage to generate 20k even with secondary market for Bama we might get invited into the SEC lol. It would also be insanely loud.
  11. They're refusing to boost us in any kind of meaningful manner despite having beaten #27 FAU (at the time and now #29) in the NET. The NET seems to think we are so bad we are behind Memphis and UNT despite beating them on the road. Assuming we go 2-0 this week I could see us finally moving into the mid-to-high 80s. To make SMU quad 1 they will have to beat FAU on Thursday at FAU and then hope they rise at least 5 spots. That way if we beat them they're not sliding more than a couple of spots-and it's a quad 1 win. I think FAU and SMU would be ranked right next to each other at that point. Our best hope for getting quad 1 wins is for UNT and Memphis to get their act together and win some real games. UNT was briefly quad 1 until UAB beat them too. Assuming SMU and FAU get in/stay in Quad 1 and UNT wins some big games to close out the season, you're 3-0 and that might be enough for an at-large for a committee looking at us. It has to guarantee NIT even if we don't win the conference tourney. In the meantime, the goal will have to be to win the conference tourney. I think those games are all neutral-site. It will be a lot easier if we're the #1 seed since we will always get the weakest opponent unless there's an upset in the bottom 7 two days in a row. You're facing either #8 or #9 on Friday (right now that's Tulane or ECU), #4, #5, #12, or #13 on Saturday (SMU, UAB, Rice, or Temple), and finally the winner of the #2 bracket on Sunday. If you're looking for wins for an at large you're stuck hoping SMU and FAU are the opponents if you lose the conference championship as that would be two more quad 1 games at a neutral site for a record of 4-1 against Q1. Going 4-0 or 5-0 against quad 1 with a conference championship probably helps seeding a ton unless you end up a #8 or #9 seed in the NCAA tourney.
  12. Agree with your points except for one-the turnaround wasn't too quick, it was perfect timing. We've got national attention on us on a daily basis, we're showing up on national TV.
  13. Fortunately we can be directly responsible for one of those losses.
  14. Yes, @Mike Stuben, please tell us. I'm not sure if we're allowed to call people out on thisboard.
  15. I wonder if the Twitter fan base had something to do with this as there was a guy going around hitting up coaches on Twitter asking for votes for USF.
  16. The simplest solution is to simply win the conference. Agree that a NET in the 60s would make it hard, especially if we have no Q1 wins. Every team in this conference is beatable as FAU showed a second time tonight. We have pole position and every major challenger left has to come to the YC except for Charlotte. It won't be easy but it's not impossible. As it is-one game at a time. have to beat Rice before we can worry about Tulsa, and have to beat Tulsa before we can worry about FAU. I don't want to look ahead but if we do beat FAU we could be looking at closing out the #1 seed with a win vs. SMU.
  17. Let's just call it like it is. Beat the easier teams on the schedule, get at least 1 win from fau or smu, and find a way to beat Charlotte on the road. Our net ranking is kind of justified at this point. Our best wins are #77 north Texas, #78 Memphis, and #92 fsu with one more top 100 win vs #95 Charlotte. The three quad 3 and quad 4 losses are holding the net down. Beating fau and smu probably gets us into the 60-80 range which puts us on the NCAA bubble with a solid shot at the NIT. That said...beat fau and I see no reason we cant win the conference.
  18. We'd probably smoke UCF again if they were still here. We swept them last year as bad as they were.
  19. I have to think that we will grow. The only question is how fast. Unfortunately, the stadium is opening in 27. BB17 if he stays won't be opening the stadium, it will be a transition year which could be a damper on attendance. You wonder, assuming that CAG continues his winning ways if he will be here in four years. He might be gone in 2-3. It's a good problem to have but as pivotal is CAG is for our future, the next hire if he doesn't stay could be even bigger.
  20. Best possible move is to give him a midseason raise if things are going well with a bigger buyout of 6-7 million. That will be immensely helpful in landing a new coach. Of course, I hope he's not ready to go after just two years.
  21. CAG won't be poached this year but assuming another big step up next year with a 3rd year RS Junior QB is going to make him a very attractive target for a ton of schools because they probably assume they can land both CAG and BB17. As far as beating Bama, we shall see. As was stated, DeBoer is unusual-he has won everywhere he's gone and is an exceptionally successful HC. Most HC get the job after one big stint at a smaller school, or massive achievement (real or not) as a top-level assistant. CAG was an assistant who killed it wherever he went. DeBoer is an HC who has killed it wherever he went. I do think we have a legitimate shot to beat them if they continue to bleed talent, but they were still trying to figure everything out when they came to Tampa last year and still had a great defense. They will reload their defense this year. You need to hope our WR corps and OL takes another big step up this year to have a shot. Fortunately, Deboer and staff haven't faced a CTO defense which works in our favor-it's always a pain to deal with the first time you see it.
  22. I think it won't matter until we're putting 35k in the stands every game, but I do believe we can get 35k in the stands. We did it for homecoming in 2017 and 2018. We're probably getting 20k actuals at Rayjay right now. Keep ascending up the winner's ranks and the number probably goes to 30k by end of next year. If we end up hosting a conference championship I could see 40k getting into Ray Jay for that. To get to 35k a week consistently you'd have to likely win the conference 2 years in a row and have a solid shot at making the playoff in 2026. The bizarre thing would be if we somehow go undefeated in 2025 with CAG and BB as a redshirt junior, win a playoff game or two, and then suddenly we're raking in attendance in our last year at Ray Jay. It would be super awkward to go from getting 50k at Ray Jay to 35k at the OCS, but at least then the pitch to boost the capacity to 40k would be there. I wouldn't want to grow it more than that unless we move up to a P2 conference. I have to agree with those saying that ND and the like will not play on campus unless the OCS seats 50k minimum. With that said, they are the only true blueblood visiting after this year. Louisville, NC State, UConn, and Southern Miss have zero reason to complain about coming to the OCS.
  23. Mike Norvell has earned the Bama job with his work at FSU. He makes lots of sense given his strength in the region. Of course the GA loss was a really bad look, but can't beat UGA's starting 22 with third-stringers. It would have made more sense for them to simply not play the game to leave people wondering. They were probably threatened with damages or similar if FSU refused to play. Dan Lanning also makes tons of sense, but you wonder if he wants to leave Oregon. They are one of the few schools that could match whatever Bama wishes to pay. Mario Cristobal has done poorly at Miami after leaving Oregon (and I frankly thought he was a good hire on their part). Lane at Bama would be interesting. Based on his past history I'm sure he's got the ability to handle the pressure, but will he win the big games like Saban did? he didn't at USC and Ole Miss while prominent certainly isn't Bama.
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