They're refusing to boost us in any kind of meaningful manner despite having beaten #27 FAU (at the time and now #29) in the NET. The NET seems to think we are so bad we are behind Memphis and UNT despite beating them on the road. Assuming we go 2-0 this week I could see us finally moving into the mid-to-high 80s.
To make SMU quad 1 they will have to beat FAU on Thursday at FAU and then hope they rise at least 5 spots. That way if we beat them they're not sliding more than a couple of spots-and it's a quad 1 win. I think FAU and SMU would be ranked right next to each other at that point.
Our best hope for getting quad 1 wins is for UNT and Memphis to get their act together and win some real games. UNT was briefly quad 1 until UAB beat them too. Assuming SMU and FAU get in/stay in Quad 1 and UNT wins some big games to close out the season, you're 3-0 and that might be enough for an at-large for a committee looking at us. It has to guarantee NIT even if we don't win the conference tourney.
In the meantime, the goal will have to be to win the conference tourney. I think those games are all neutral-site. It will be a lot easier if we're the #1 seed since we will always get the weakest opponent unless there's an upset in the bottom 7 two days in a row. You're facing either #8 or #9 on Friday (right now that's Tulane or ECU), #4, #5, #12, or #13 on Saturday (SMU, UAB, Rice, or Temple), and finally the winner of the #2 bracket on Sunday. If you're looking for wins for an at large you're stuck hoping SMU and FAU are the opponents if you lose the conference championship as that would be two more quad 1 games at a neutral site for a record of 4-1 against Q1. Going 4-0 or 5-0 against quad 1 with a conference championship probably helps seeding a ton unless you end up a #8 or #9 seed in the NCAA tourney.