This site has an interesting breakdown of the odds. It gives us a 2.1% chance of making the tournament and a 2.1% chance of getting an Automatic Bid (Winning the AAC tournament). Essentially our only chance is winning the tournament and the odds are 2.1%. I would consider that a longshot
It doesn't say at 22 wins, there is a 12% chance of making the NCAA tournament, and 22% at 23, but it only goes up 36% at 25 wins
The site predicts we will win 17.8 games, so I am assuming it's giving us a near-zero chance to win 22 games which would only slightly increase our odds
The second link breaks down further, the chance of winning the AAC tournament
South Florida Bulls: Results, Picks, Power Rankings, Odds & Stats on TeamRankings.com
WWW.TEAMRANKINGS.COM
South Florida Bulls team page with results, picks, power rankings, odds and stats.
South Florida Bulls: Results, Picks, Power Rankings, Odds & Stats on TeamRankings.com
WWW.TEAMRANKINGS.COM
South Florida Bulls team page with results, picks, power rankings, odds and stats.